ferliu

Weather 64% +$14 $1,244 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 5?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 4?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 3?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 2?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 2?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 2?	No	48¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 28?	No	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on February 28?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 27?	No	17¢	0¢	$-53	loss

Economy 30% $-10 $547 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the April 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the January unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will US unemployment be 4.1% or lower in December 2024?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$209	win
Will the November unemployment rate be 4.0% or less?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-83	loss

Sports 29% $-37 $434 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?	No	70¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or less in February?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will US annual inflation be 2.8% in December?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will inflation increase by 2.5% or less in November?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-81	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-66 $113 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	23¢	4¢	$-33	loss

Politics 20% $-149 $343 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-88	loss

Crypto 44% $-213 $8,326 vol · 96 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	10¢	6¢	$-4	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	61¢	20¢	+$69	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48¢	36¢	+$38	win
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	80k	40¢	100¢	$-149	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	13¢	90¢	+$559	win
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	42¢	100¢	+$49	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	36¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	48¢	0¢	$-29	loss
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	57¢	0¢	$-29	loss
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	46¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Other 31% $-249 $1,275 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	54¢	80¢	+$16	win
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in August?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$136	win
Was Milei hacked?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will there be 200-250k jobs added in January 2025?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will $MELANIA FDV be less than $1b on Friday?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will $MELANIA FDV be $3-5b on Friday?	No	62¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will US add between 200k and 250k jobs in December 2024?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-23	loss