Win rate
61.1%
195 W / 124 L
Total PnL
$1,208
realized $149 · unrealized $1,059
Portfolio
$1,059
volume $129,168
Predictions
645
25.0/day · avg $200
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 83% +$464
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$7 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 13¢ | 4¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | No | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 73% +$235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$1 | win |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 75¢ | 73¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 58¢ | 47¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 26¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | 62¢ | 48¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$24 | win |
Sports 50% +$115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | win |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Rockets | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
Crypto 47% +$101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | No | 23¢ | 10¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 11? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Esports 75% +$85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | DN SOOPers | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | JD Gaming | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | EDward Gaming | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | LNG Esports | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Elections 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Politics 71% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 63¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 26¢ | 21¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $35 | 18/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Busta | Pedro Martinez | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner | Oh My God | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 48.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $38 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 16? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 81.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | DN SOOPers | 31.7¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $84 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $57 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 62.1¢ | 84¢ | +$16 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $135 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Dplus KIA | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $36 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 52.7¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Ultra Prime | 44.2¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | No | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 36.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Down | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | T1 Academy | 76.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Oh My God | 78.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner | T1 Academy | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner | T1 Academy | 55.3¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $29 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 71.6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 14/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G Global Academy | 49.8¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | JD Gaming | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 56.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Anyones Legend | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44.4¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 11? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $27 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 80.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 71.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $65 | 12/04/2026 |
| 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5 | Over | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |