Win rate
21.9%
14 W / 50 L
Total PnL
$-386
realized $-982 · unrealized $596
Portfolio
$596
volume $144,454
Predictions
147
4.3/day · avg $983
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 47¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 7¢ | $-7 | loss |
Crypto 40% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 45¢ | 60¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 53¢ | 40¢ | $-10 | loss |
Culture 0% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | No | 30¢ | 46¢ | $-15 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 30¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 20¢ | 18¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | 55¢ | 54¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | No | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 21% $-104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 19¢ | 20¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 37¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Other 26% $-170
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24? | No | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | No | 23¢ | 22¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | No | 24¢ | 24¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? | No | 32¢ | 30¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19? | No | 39¢ | 38¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19? | No | 25¢ | 24¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | No | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | No | 31.7¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $107 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $866 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $111 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 72.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 19.5¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $97 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $314 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 37.5¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 37.4¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $77 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $321 | 04/04/2026 |
| BitBoy convicted? | Yes | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $667 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $30 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $30 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 60¢ | $-6 | $94 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 53.4¢ | 40¢ | $-10 | $99 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison? | Yes | 18.2¢ | 25¢ | $-7 | $66 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | Yes | 30.7¢ | 24¢ | $-18 | $91 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 25.4¢ | 35¢ | $-19 | $94 | 31/12/2025 |
| Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 7¢ | $-7 | $40 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | $22 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18? | No | 36.0¢ | 36¢ | $-2 | $72 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? | No | 31.1¢ | 32¢ | $-5 | $182 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? | No | 31.9¢ | 30¢ | $-4 | $124 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19? | No | 39.0¢ | 38¢ | $-1 | $24 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19? | No | 25.0¢ | 24¢ | $-29 | $709 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | $70 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | No | 24.0¢ | 24¢ | $-7 | $155 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | $100 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | No | 23.0¢ | 22¢ | $-61 | $1,140 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | $99 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24? | No | 29.0¢ | 28¢ | $-83 | $1,360 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 47.0¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | $30 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 94.6¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $49 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 20¢ | $-1 | $31 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 23¢ | +$23 | $892 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 14¢ | $-59 | $666 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 13.5¢ | 14¢ | $-6 | $229 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 94.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $114 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 92.7¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $70 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 94.0¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 96.5¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.0¢ | 85¢ | $-0 | $498 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 87.9¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | $75 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 58.0¢ | 55¢ | $-6 | $181 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $77 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 12¢ | $-14 | $705 | 01/07/2026 |