0x9996...bda1

Mentions 47% $-2 $756 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	18¢	18¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	16¢	17¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	53¢	58¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Culture 0% $-5 $138 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	53¢	54¢	$-0	loss
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	44¢	42¢	$-2	loss

Elections 0% $-6 $120 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	82¢	75¢	$-0	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	39¢	16¢	$-4	loss

Other 0% $-18 $329 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	73¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	38¢	24¢	$-4	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	25¢	38¢	$-4	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	76¢	62¢	$-4	loss

Politics 0% $-85 $647 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	24¢	43¢	$-2	loss
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	5¢	22¢	$-6	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	9¢	3¢	$-11	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	82¢	72¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	Yes	6¢	1¢	$-5	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-17	loss

Geopolitics 12% $-119 $1,605 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	27¢	30¢	$-1	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31¢	24¢	$-9	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	74¢	70¢	$-1	loss
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	46¢	46¢	$-2	loss
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$7	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-18	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	17¢	30¢	$-8	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	79¢	70¢	$-10	loss
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	25¢	20¢	$-7	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	12¢	4¢	$-22	loss