FESENTEY

Geopolitics 58% +$24,941 $203,098 vol · 105 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	59¢	30¢	$-89	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	64¢	69¢	+$164	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	84¢	88¢	+$1	win
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	94¢	94¢	+$1	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	87¢	94¢	+$0	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$41	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	9¢	8¢	$-17	loss

Sports 52% +$7,362 $261,462 vol · 344 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	94¢	95¢	+$1	win
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	33¢	100¢	+$1,698	win
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Texas Rangers	56¢	100¢	+$649	win
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Chicago White Sox	50¢	100¢	+$603	win
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Washington Nationals	50¢	100¢	+$575	win
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Arizona Diamondbacks	46¢	100¢	+$328	win
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	68¢	100¢	+$152	win
Athletics vs. New York Mets	Athletics	61¢	100¢	+$113	win
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Minnesota Twins	52¢	100¢	+$66	win

Politics 56% +$1,757 $21,885 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-10	loss
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	9¢	8¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	24¢	16¢	$-55	loss
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	72¢	72¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	31¢	38¢	+$519	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	93¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Monza: Michele Ribecai vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	43¢	100¢	+$127	win

Elections 80% +$224 $1,560 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	84¢	83¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	54¢	56¢	+$16	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	76¢	100¢	+$164	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$43	win

Finance 60% +$129 $1,558 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	70¢	69¢	$-2	loss
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli	Nerman Fatic	66¢	100¢	+$203	win
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	15¢	0¢	$-211	loss

Weather 100% +$70 $45 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	39¢	100¢	+$70	win

Crypto 49% $-5,442 $211,826 vol · 483 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	64¢	0¢	$-405	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	45¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	31¢	100¢	+$1,466	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	27¢	100¢	+$1,094	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	25¢	100¢	+$997	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	52¢	100¢	+$851	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	36¢	100¢	+$775	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	45¢	100¢	+$708	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	52¢	100¢	+$694	win

Esports 50% $-17,836 $49,191 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Melser Kindergarten vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 Winner	Leviatán Academy	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Valorant: Melser Kindergarten vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 Winner	Melser Kindergarten	90¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 2 Winner	Galions	90¢	0¢	$-2,257	loss
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions - Map 1 Winner	Esprit Shōnen	90¢	0¢	$-8,277	loss
Valorant: ghosts vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner	Fire Flux Esports	90¢	100¢	+$149	win
Valorant: ghosts vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner	ghosts	90¢	0¢	$-4,213	loss
Honor of Kings: Team Secret vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner	GAM Esports	90¢	50¢	$-201	loss
Honor of Kings: Team Secret vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner	Team Secret	90¢	0¢	$-451	loss
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	FOKUS	52¢	100¢	+$59	win
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Brute - Map 1 Winner	Leo Team	75¢	100¢	+$15	win

Other 48% $-74,150 $340,751 vol · 777 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	93¢	92¢	$-3	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	51¢	34¢	$-102	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	17¢	16¢	+$8	win
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	95¢	96¢	+$0	win
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	59¢	62¢	+$3	win
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$1	win
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	99¢	99¢	$-5	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$12	win