Win rate
68.2%
120 W / 56 L
Total PnL
$0
realized $-514 · unrealized $514
Portfolio
$514
volume $98,107
Predictions
472
9.5/day · avg $208
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 69% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 88% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 92% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 31% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 25% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 42% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Boston Red Sox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 86% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 25% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $119 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $579 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $1,084 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $275 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $76 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $154 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $36 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $142 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $84 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $201 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $108 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 16-22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 23? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 23? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $124 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 22? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $169 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 22? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 22? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 22/03/2026 |