Win rate
56.9%
70 W / 53 L
Total PnL
$364
realized $-1,116 · unrealized $1,480
Portfolio
$1,480
volume $153,142
Predictions
150
1.3/day · avg $1,021
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$384
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 37¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% +$256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | win |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Islanders vs. Senators | Islanders | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Ducks | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Canadiens vs. Senators | Canadiens | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$247 | win |
| Senators vs. Kraken | Kraken | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
Culture 50% +$115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-392 | loss |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 41% $-354
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights vs. Stars | Stars | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-348 | loss |
| Blues vs. Canucks | Blues | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | win |
| Avalanche vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Utah | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Lightning vs. Canucks | Canucks | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Oilers | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | loss |
| Stars vs. Avalanche | Stars | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$507 | win |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jackets | Rangers | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| Jets vs. Bruins | Jets | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
Crypto 82% $-395
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? | No | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-465 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 9? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-272 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $681 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $995 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | $-465 | $465 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $2,450 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,992 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,024 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $486 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 9? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $814 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 7? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-272 | $285 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $604 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $685 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 3? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | $1,197 | 04/04/2026 |
| Over $2M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$174 | $482 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $135 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $1,055 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $2.5M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $360 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $3M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $483 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $273 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $1,117 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $192 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale? | No | 13.9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026? | Yes | 34.6¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | Yes | 75.4¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $125 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $668 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $1,039 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $986 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27? | Yes | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $47 | 27/03/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Stars | Stars | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-348 | $348 | 22/03/2026 |
| Blues vs. Canucks | Blues | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $198 | 21/03/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 21/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Utah | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$178 | $152 | 20/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 20/03/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Canucks | Canucks | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $87 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 20? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Oilers | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | $177 | 20/03/2026 |
| Stars vs. Avalanche | Stars | 44.6¢ | 100¢ | +$507 | $408 | 19/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jackets | Rangers | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $99 | 19/03/2026 |
| Jets vs. Bruins | Jets | 44.8¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | $197 | 19/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Red Wings | Canadiens | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | $198 | 19/03/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Senators | Islanders | 46.1¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | $203 | 19/03/2026 |
| Blues vs. Flames | Blues | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-377 | $377 | 19/03/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Under | 50.7¢ | 100¢ | +$222 | $228 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,180 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $299 | 18/03/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Hurricanes | Penguins | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $151 | 18/03/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | $150 | 18/03/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Oilers | Sharks | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 18/03/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Kraken | Kraken | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-152 | $152 | 18/03/2026 |
| Predators vs. Jets | Jets | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | $219 | 18/03/2026 |