Win rate
46.6%
124 W / 142 L
Total PnL
$-350
realized $-1,384 · unrealized $1,034
Portfolio
$1,034
volume $239,972
Predictions
1,161
15.0/day · avg $207
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/03/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$2,594
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$2,590 | win |
Other 43% +$1,740
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 30¢ | 30¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18? | No | 43¢ | 43¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 44¢ | 44¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 44¢ | 44¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18? | No | 54¢ | 54¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-04-18? | No | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Economy 60% +$181
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 47% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-17.5) | Wizards | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Clippers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) | Knicks | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Suns | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) | Rockets | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5 | Under | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5 | Under | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) | Lakers | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) | Mavericks | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5 | Over | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Tech 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Politics 33% $-291
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | loss |
| Will Trump tweet on inauguration day? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 79% $-5,157
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-3,487 | loss |
| Will Elon tweet 750 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$155 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 10-17? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mazatlán FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-04-18? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-18? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético San Luis vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw? | Yes | 29.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tokushima Vortis win on 2026-04-18? | No | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-04-18? | No | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali end in a draw? | Yes | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-04-18? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw? | No | 17.0¢ | 30¢ | +$22 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Orlando City SC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 24¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 24¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 26¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 28¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 28¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Atlanta United FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 28¢ | $-1 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? | No | 32.0¢ | 32¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 33.0¢ | 32¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 39.0¢ | 38¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-18? | No | 47.0¢ | 46¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 49.0¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18? | No | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18? | No | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 52.0¢ | 52¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18? | No | 53.0¢ | 52¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 54.0¢ | 54¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 55.0¢ | 55¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18? | No | 56.0¢ | 56¢ | $-0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw? | Yes | 31.4¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. AD Pasto end in a draw? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-17? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal end in a draw? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |