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0x976De0d0711fB61e8287f85d7a9Fa56d5E53b79D-1770825040298
0x976de0d0711fb61e8287f85d7a9fa56d5e53b79d · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
56.0%
98 W / 77 L
Total PnL
$-2,528
realized $-3,295 · unrealized $767
Portfolio
$767
volume $80,462
Predictions
199
2.5/day · avg $404
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 65% +$337
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 80¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | Yes | 38¢ | 28¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Prince Andrew released by February 19? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 33¢ | 24¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$7 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will FC København win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 100% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 41¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 25¢ | 19¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 29¢ | 22¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Politics 50% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 71¢ | 68¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 76¢ | 69¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 76¢ | 86¢ | $-2 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-485
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Down | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Up | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Up | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Up | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Finance 0% $-671
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13? | Down | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-671 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-1,705
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-472 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-262 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 36¢ | 8¢ | $-12 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-244 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$372 | $657 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $83 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $193 | 11/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 79.4¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $79 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 37.8¢ | 80¢ | +$141 | $344 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $218 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $78 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $120 | 31/03/2026 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $83 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $85 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | No | 80.0¢ | 80¢ | +$2 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 52.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | No | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 82.2¢ | 0¢ | $-362 | $487 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-03-30? | Yes | 77.2¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $344 | 30/03/2026 |
| Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | No | 77.7¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 30/03/2026 |
| SHL: Luleaa vs. Froelunda HC | Froelunda HC | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-03-26? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $100 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $60 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $33 | 28/02/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 28/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $20 | 20/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Down | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $35 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 40.5¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $109 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Up | 42.7¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $81 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Up | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $54 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Up | 40.5¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Up | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $25 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Up | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $117 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | Up | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $41 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Down | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Up | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Down | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Down | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Down | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Up | 52.5¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | $157 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Up | 45.9¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $55 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Down | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $40 | 15/02/2026 |