Win rate
56.6%
440 W / 338 L
Total PnL
$13,778
realized $-12,917 · unrealized $26,695
Portfolio
$26,695
volume $3,874,648
Predictions
763
2.9/day · avg $5,078
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 60% +$17,701
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 61¢ | +$124 | win |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1,027 | win |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 13¢ | 26¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-555 | loss |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | Yes | 49¢ | 78¢ | +$2 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75¢ | 69¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Vitality | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$1,100 | win |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Solary | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$680 | win |
Elections 57% +$13,479
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sheila Garrity win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | No | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | Yes | 9¢ | 17¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | No | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$544 | win |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish second in the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | loss |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-218 | loss |
| Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-842 | loss |
| Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1,332 | win |
Politics 74% +$2,090
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$365 | win |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | win |
| Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$376 | win |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump say "abortion" at debate? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-272 | loss |
| Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-504 | loss |
Geopolitics 70% +$2,054
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$597 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 59¢ | 94¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$932 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$-0 | — |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-2,543 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$384 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1,036 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-324 | loss |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$350 | win |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$302 | win |
Crypto 58% +$624
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$200 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$408 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | win |
| Will Germany win? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-209 | loss |
Economy 100% +$290
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. Mississippi State | Texas | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | win |
Culture 20% $-485
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1,867 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$720 | win |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-164 | loss |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-548 | loss |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-593 | loss |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | loss |
| Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-589 | loss |
Sports 52% $-7,402
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 30¢ | 28¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-1,075 | loss |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-345 | loss |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Toronto Blue Jays | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$1,950 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Under | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$440 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Over | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-829 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card) | Moreno | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-640 | loss |
Esports 44% $-15,291
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | win |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$237 | win |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Shopify Rebellion | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-285 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-1,976 | loss |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-960 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-1,440 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | NIP | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-765 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$540 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$620 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | Vitality | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,100 | $900 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Solary | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$680 | $1,320 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$574 | $860 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | $360 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$237 | $752 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Shopify Rebellion | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-285 | $285 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Joblife | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 17/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$440 | $1,060 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$408 | $392 | 16/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $460 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $164 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $81 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $250 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $174 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$384 | $11,322 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $-408 | $408 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,026 | $1,026 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,976 | $1,976 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-960 | $960 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1,326 | $3,563 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SK Gaming | 43.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,230 | $963 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Fnatic | 66.5¢ | 0¢ | +$149 | $1,330 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $2,188 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $102 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | $913 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $170 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $87 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,440 | $1,440 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Fnatic | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,820 | $1,820 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 99¢ | +$538 | $1,440 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-450 | $450 | 11/04/2026 |
| Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5) | PARIVISION | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,036 | $1,764 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 70.9¢ | 100¢ | +$879 | $2,140 | 08/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,856 | $1,856 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,036 | $11,280 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-324 | $4,045 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs | NIP | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $-765 | $765 | 02/04/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | +$350 | $3,061 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$302 | $9,927 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | $7,542 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $7,759 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-703 | $703 | 31/03/2026 |
| Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? | Yes | 62.9¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | $159 | 29/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$540 | $1,460 | 28/03/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | Vitality | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$419 | $603 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | $420 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$620 | $1,380 | 27/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Team Falcons | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$860 | $1,140 | 23/03/2026 |