Win rate
61.3%
125 W / 79 L
Total PnL
$371
realized $-1,353 · unrealized $1,724
Portfolio
$1,724
volume $101,089
Predictions
441
4.7/day · avg $229
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 100% +$120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Spirit | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | FURIA | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | FaZe | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
Culture 67% +$55
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Weather 95% +$34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 24? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on February 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on February 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or below on February 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 12? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 83¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 25% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the second round? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 65% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 62¢ | 59¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev | Brandon Nakashima | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| LoL: Lille Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group | Galions | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend? | Send Help | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Mentions 53% $-57
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 22¢ | 10¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
Crypto 69% $-95
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | No | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | No | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in February? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Down | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 21.8¢ | 10¢ | $-12 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $348 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $116 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | $87 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $147 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 79.6¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $94 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 43.4¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $27 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 58.4¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $242 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $149 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 35.9¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $142 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 57.3¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $125 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $44 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $44 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | No | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $51 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $962 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | $103 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $116 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $119 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $149 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 80.2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $111 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $47 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 62.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $23 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 34.7¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $40 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev | Brandon Nakashima | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.7¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | $49 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $88 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 10/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | Spirit | 69.2¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $116 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $183 | 09/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | FURIA | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $38 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? | Yes | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in February? | No | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $29 | 01/03/2026 |