0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036

Geopolitics 78% +$21,659 $269,505 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$348	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$112	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?	No	92¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	Israel	79¢	50¢	$-93	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-555	loss
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5	Under	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?	No	99¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Other 86% +$5,293 $237,435 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	89¢	93¢	$-1	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	86¢	92¢	$-38	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	75¢	78¢	$-582	loss
Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?	No	96¢	86¢	$-16	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	91¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?	No	48¢	100¢	+$91	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	98¢	100¢	$-134	loss
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$413	win
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?	No	42¢	100¢	+$184	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$56	win

Sports 65% +$724 $30,741 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	12¢	9¢	$-36	loss
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	India	96¢	100¢	+$112	win
Raptors vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	99¢	100¢	+$16	win
Suns vs. Pacers	Suns	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Sharks vs. Sabres	Sabres	98¢	100¢	+$46	win
Bulls vs. Kings	Kings	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
76ers vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Tech 88% +$375 $7,261 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-35	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$78	win
Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?	No	83¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	No	94¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	No	91¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?	No	84¢	100¢	+$96	win
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$139	win

Weather 100% +$2 $353 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 50% $-251 $2,375 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?	Yes	92¢	0¢	$-353	loss
Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Elections 80% $-668 $39,036 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	91¢	100¢	$-85	loss
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	83¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	96¢	99¢	+$8	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	34¢	18¢	$-654	loss
Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$124	win
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	86¢	92¢	+$86	win
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Jean-Philippe Veter be the next mayor of Strasbourg?	No	86¢	100¢	+$63	win

Mentions 64% $-3,136 $66,216 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-624	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?	No	98¢	0¢	$-445	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	No	97¢	0¢	$-1,989	loss
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$8	win