Win rate
49.2%
32 W / 33 L
Total PnL
$855
realized $-44 · unrealized $900
Portfolio
$900
volume $68,168
Predictions
1,654
27.1/day · avg $41
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 61% +$43
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | Yes | 68¢ | 27¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali end in a draw? | Yes | 40¢ | 22¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Glasgow Warriors win? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Londrina EC vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Elections 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 65¢ | 85¢ | +$18 | win |
Culture 67% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Sports 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Politics 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Tech 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
Mentions 50% $-74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Weather 38% $-247
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 18? | Yes | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 15? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 14? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 13? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 13? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 13? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17? | Yes | 47.2¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17? | Yes | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 15? | Yes | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 16? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 14? | Yes | 38.2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 77.5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 13? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 13? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 13? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 13? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $37 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 64.8¢ | 85¢ | +$18 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Glasgow Warriors win? | Yes | 60.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $27 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will there be fewer than 3 major space weather events this week? | Yes | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 4 major space weather events this week? | Yes | 92.7¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $26 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9? | Yes | 44.6¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8? | Yes | 34.6¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $38 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $56 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | Yes | 49.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m? | Yes | 70.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $31 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 6? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $33 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? | Yes | 55.8¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | Yes | 51.7¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $35 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | Yes | 72.7¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $38 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 55.2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 60.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $26 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $28 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3? | Yes | 75.8¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Londrina EC vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $26 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? | Yes | 64.2¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $89 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | 62.6¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 81.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $51 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 45.9¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $47 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Iwaki FC vs. AC Nagano Parceiro end in a draw? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $31 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28? | Yes | 65.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $23 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27? | Yes | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $98 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 27/03/2026 |