Win rate
48.6%
17 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-1,654
realized $-2,904 · unrealized $1,249
Portfolio
$1,249
volume $166,236
Predictions
68
0.5/day · avg $2,445
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/07/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 75% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-9 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 26? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 0% $-53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Crypto 48% $-503
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $120 in April? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 2-8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 40% $-1,014
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-999 | loss |
| Linea airdrop in Q3 2025? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
Recent Trades (42)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $879 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $577 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $132 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 15? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $73 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $958 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $244 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 2-8? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $6,063 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.30 March 2-8? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $400 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 February 23-March 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $908 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in February? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $907 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 19/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $194 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $102 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 31/12/2025 |
| USDT depeg in 2025? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $48 | 31/12/2025 |
| Solana all time high before 2026? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $139 | 31/12/2025 |
| WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-999 | $999 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 54.5¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $35 | 19/10/2025 |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 19/10/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1AM ET | Down | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 04/10/2025 |
| Linea airdrop in Q3 2025? | Yes | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 30/09/2025 |
| XRP above $3.10 on August 1? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 01/08/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 1? | Down | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 1? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $50 | 01/08/2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 30? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $50 | 30/07/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 30/07/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $60 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 26? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 26/07/2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 26? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 26/07/2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 25/07/2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $54 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 18? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $999 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $980 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $40 on April 19? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $2,397 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 19? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $955 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-9 | $12,900 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in April? | No | 97.6¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $999 | 01/05/2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 91.6¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $1,110 | 31/12/2026 |