Win rate
79.1%
34 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-1,198
realized $-5,778 · unrealized $4,580
Portfolio
$4,580
volume $72,205
Predictions
60
2.4/day · avg $1,203
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 95% +$4,552
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$1,685 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | 53¢ | 80¢ | +$11 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$115 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | win |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
Other 100% +$234
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Finance 100% +$182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-93
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $-21 | loss |
Tech 38% $-5,990
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 2? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 2? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on April 2? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $295 on April 2? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 2? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 25? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on March 25? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-5,882 | loss |
Recent Trades (43)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 62.1¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $62 | 10/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 28.4¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 2? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 2? | No | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $106 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $370 on April 2? | No | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $31 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $295 on April 2? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $67 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 2? | No | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $69 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $208 in March? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | $2,929 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | No | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $859 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | No | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | $223 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $1,395 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026? | No | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $797 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $617 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $243 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026? | Yes | 51.5¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,750 in March? | Yes | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $196 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026? | No | 74.8¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $237 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by March 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $985 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $494 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 25? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $106 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on March 25? | No | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | $-5,882 | $6,002 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $3,779 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? | No | 85.4¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | $48 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,970 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | No | 84.5¢ | 98¢ | +$107 | $676 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 91.7¢ | 99¢ | +$115 | $1,375 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 93.0¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | $465 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $53 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $49 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | +$780 | $4,220 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | $959 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | $3,940 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$311 | $4,461 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 38.5¢ | 38¢ | $-2 | $769 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 40¢ | $-70 | $860 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 4¢ | $-21 | $109 | 04/10/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1,685 | $5,315 | 31/12/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | 52.9¢ | 80¢ | +$11 | $138 | 31/12/2026 |