polywallet polymarket whale scanner
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Win rate
73.9%
227 W / 80 L
Total PnL
$-64,533
realized $-68,905 · unrealized $4,372
Portfolio
$4,372
volume $8,114,790
Predictions
292
2.9/day · avg $27,790

PnL history

Details

Joined31/12/1969
Last activity19/04/2026
Profiled at19/04/2026
Qualifiedyes

Category breakdown

Culture 69% +$56,663 $1,319,287 vol · 163 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m? Yes 96¢ 97¢ +$13 win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? No 81¢ $-5,848 loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? Yes 75¢ $-3,094 loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? No 78¢ $-75 loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? Yes 20¢ $-9,317 loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? No 98¢ 100¢ $-3,804 loss
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 87¢ 100¢ +$471 win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? No 99¢ 100¢ +$112 win
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? Yes 55¢ $-7 loss
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? No 65¢ $-311 loss
Politics 72% +$16,306 $1,092,933 vol · 31 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 92¢ +$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ +$0
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? Yes 85¢ 100¢ +$10,837 win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? No +$900 win
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social? Yes 69¢ 75¢ +$180 win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? No 12¢ 100¢ +$3,460 win
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 94¢ 100¢ +$76 win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? Yes 56¢ $-7 loss
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary? No 99¢ 100¢ +$139 win
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? No 41¢ $-27 loss
Tech 80% +$10,684 $150,028 vol · 5 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? Yes 97¢ 100¢ +$3 win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? No +$9,535 win
OpenAI browser by October 31? Yes 80¢ 100¢ +$2,001 win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $-1,716 loss
Finance 100% +$7,862 $78,007 vol · 2 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? Yes 91¢ 100¢ +$6,902 win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? No 90¢ 100¢ +$960 win
Geopolitics 93% +$7,234 $472,272 vol · 14 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$39 win
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$200 win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$50 win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ +$635 win
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? Yes 98¢ 100¢ +$586 win
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? Yes 99¢ 100¢ +$191 win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes 94¢ 100¢ +$4,923 win
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Yes 30¢ +$20 win
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$90 win
Israel strikes Syria by Friday? Yes 22¢ +$1,492 win
Elections 38% +$4,361 $179,493 vol · 8 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$63 win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? No 96¢ 100¢ $-180 loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $-4,814 loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? No 91¢ 100¢ +$5,280 win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 91¢ 100¢ +$4,400 win
Weather 56% +$223 $80,758 vol · 12 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? Yes 98¢ 100¢ +$123 win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025? No 100¢ 100¢ +$18 win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in October 2025 (LS)? Yes 47¢ $-830 loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in October 2025 (LS)? No 100¢ 100¢ $-3,657 loss
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025? Yes 100¢ 100¢ +$4 win
Sports 0% +$-0 $300 vol · 1 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? Yes 17¢ +$-0
Other 83% $-167,645 $1,605,737 vol · 96 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? No 100¢ 100¢ +$341 win
Epstein client list released by June 30? No 84¢ 93¢ +$327 win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? No 95¢ 100¢ +$1,428 win
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? Yes 93¢ 100¢ +$1,426 win
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 94¢ 100¢ +$12 win
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? Yes 27¢ +$58 win
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? No 98¢ 100¢ $-3,309 loss
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? No 100¢ 100¢ $-0 loss
Government shutdown on Saturday? No 98¢ 100¢ +$25 win
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? Yes 98¢ 100¢ +$1,952 win

Recent Trades (50)

Market Position Avg Price Cur Price PnL Volume Settled
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social? Yes 69.0¢ 75¢ +$180 $2,216 19/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? No 81.1¢ $-5,848 $5,848 13/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? Yes 74.9¢ $-3,094 $3,094 13/04/2026
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? No 95.0¢ 100¢ +$35 $664 13/04/2026
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? No 78.5¢ $-75 $75 13/04/2026
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? Yes 98.4¢ 100¢ +$123 $7,556 10/04/2026
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Yes 99.9¢ 100¢ +$50 $49,950 07/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? Yes 26.8¢ 100¢ +$30,265 $11,333 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? No 50.0¢ 100¢ +$1,667 $11,607 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m? No 99.8¢ 100¢ +$0 $36,800 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? No 99.8¢ 100¢ +$0 $35,895 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? No 60.0¢ $-146 $879 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? Yes 20.0¢ $-184 $184 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? No 97.6¢ 100¢ $-3,804 $11,145 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? Yes 20.0¢ $-4,088 $6,701 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? Yes 33.0¢ $-6,881 $18,781 06/04/2026
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? Yes 20.0¢ $-9,317 $7,372 06/04/2026
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? No 12.0¢ 100¢ +$3,460 $480 31/03/2026
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? Yes 93.2¢ 100¢ +$1,426 $19,640 31/03/2026
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 86.7¢ 100¢ +$1,092 $7,148 31/03/2026
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? No 95.8¢ 100¢ +$635 $14,358 31/03/2026
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? Yes 98.2¢ 100¢ +$586 $31,608 31/03/2026
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 81.4¢ 100¢ +$489 $2,136 31/03/2026
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 86.7¢ 100¢ +$471 $3,066 31/03/2026
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 90.4¢ 100¢ +$438 $4,111 31/03/2026
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 89.4¢ 100¢ +$266 $2,244 31/03/2026
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 88.5¢ 100¢ +$236 $1,813 31/03/2026
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 88.4¢ 100¢ +$224 $1,702 31/03/2026
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? Yes 99.3¢ 100¢ +$191 $27,091 31/03/2026
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 84.0¢ 100¢ +$172 $900 31/03/2026
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 88.5¢ 100¢ +$172 $1,315 31/03/2026
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 86.6¢ 100¢ +$169 $1,093 31/03/2026
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 87.4¢ 100¢ +$151 $1,051 31/03/2026
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 84.6¢ 100¢ +$119 $655 31/03/2026
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 85.7¢ 100¢ +$110 $662 31/03/2026
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 91.9¢ 100¢ +$105 $1,184 31/03/2026
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 92.3¢ 100¢ +$95 $1,147 31/03/2026
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 88.1¢ 100¢ +$82 $605 31/03/2026
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 94.4¢ 100¢ +$76 $1,265 31/03/2026
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 91.4¢ 100¢ +$59 $628 31/03/2026
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 89.3¢ 100¢ +$59 $492 31/03/2026
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 88.7¢ 100¢ +$53 $420 31/03/2026
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 90.0¢ 100¢ +$50 $448 31/03/2026
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 84.8¢ 100¢ +$49 $274 31/03/2026
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 89.4¢ 100¢ +$38 $317 31/03/2026
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 90.0¢ 100¢ +$33 $296 31/03/2026
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 93.0¢ 100¢ +$29 $391 31/03/2026
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 91.8¢ 100¢ +$29 $321 31/03/2026
Will Howard Lutnick be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 86.9¢ 100¢ +$28 $189 31/03/2026
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? Yes 93.7¢ 100¢ +$28 $420 31/03/2026