Win rate
22.0%
22 W / 78 L
Total PnL
$411
realized $-638 · unrealized $1,049
Portfolio
$1,049
volume $214,023
Predictions
106
2.4/day · avg $2,019
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$899
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$1,008 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 17% +$89
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Kings vs. Rangers | Kings | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Knicks | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Utah | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will BNB reach $900 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 14% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 5% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
Other 20% $-503
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5 | Over | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5) | Saint Louis Billikens | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats | Villanova Wildcats | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels | Saint Marys Gaels | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns | North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $900 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $92 | 25/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 25/03/2026 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5 | Over | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $79 | 23/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,181 | 22/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5) | Saint Louis Billikens | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 21/03/2026 |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats | Villanova Wildcats | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 20/03/2026 |
| Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels | Saint Marys Gaels | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $61 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $121 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $98 | 17/03/2026 |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns | North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 17/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Rangers | Kings | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $103 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,533 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,208 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,400 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? | No | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $109 | 14/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Knicks | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $89 | 13/03/2026 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Utah | 44.9¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 11/03/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $46 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-142 | $142 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08? | No | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$199 | $127 | 08/03/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Stars | Avalanche | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $107 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07? | No | 73.9¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $102 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $154 | 04/03/2026 |
| Blackhawks vs. Jets | Jets | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $126 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $94 | 03/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Islanders | Islanders | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $81 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,008 | $1,872 | 13/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,050 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $904 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,062 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $555 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $868 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $690 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,472 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,068 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $652 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,109 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,248 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,467 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,796 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,896 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,299 | 01/07/2026 |