Win rate
34.5%
165 W / 313 L
Total PnL
$12,133
realized $1,548 · unrealized $10,585
Portfolio
$10,585
volume $793,254
Predictions
712
13.3/day · avg $1,114
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 34% +$16,778
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 50% +$1,318
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$0 | — |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$55 | win |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-477 | loss |
Politics 50% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 39¢ | $-687 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$687 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Crypto 0% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | 80k | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 30.3¢ | 100¢ | +$690 | $415 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $410 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 27.6¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $369 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $286 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $179 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $-411 | $416 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 22.3¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $740 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $315 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $57 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $37 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $410 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $-412 | $415 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $410 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 21.2¢ | 0¢ | $-359 | $475 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $410 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $-419 | $421 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 04/04/2026 |