Praescientia

Politics 67% +$1,578 $8,811 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	21¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	76¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	65¢	70¢	+$13	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	80¢	60¢	$-23	loss
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	33¢	32¢	$-6	loss
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	90¢	92¢	+$1	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	45¢	56¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	20¢	1¢	+$83	win

Esports 61% +$215 $8,394 vol · 195 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Spirit	79¢	100¢	+$12	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	50¢	100¢	+$30	win
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Team Vitality	75¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	52¢	0¢	$-50	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	68¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	HOTU	53¢	100¢	+$32	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	38¢	0¢	+$8	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	B8	89¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	62¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Sports 52% +$190 $19,877 vol · 433 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	24¢	24¢	$-2	loss
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	83¢	77¢	$-2	loss
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	86¢	100¢	+$7	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva	Jelena Ostapenko	29¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Ducks vs. Predators	Predators	46¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Avalanche vs. Flames	Flames	39¢	0¢	+$6	win
Avalanche vs. Flames	Avalanche	89¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Suns	58¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Kings vs. Canucks	Kings	51¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Red Wings vs. Panthers	Red Wings	58¢	0¢	$-55	loss

Mentions 79% +$73 $3,084 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	61¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	57¢	0¢	$-160	loss
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	49¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	49¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	75¢	0¢	$-149	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	No	62¢	0¢	$-237	loss

Weather 45% $-20 $518 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	40¢	100¢	+$43	win
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Wichita State Shockers	42¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	71¢	100¢	+$22	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Miami Hurricanes	26¢	0¢	+$10	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	St. Johns Red Storm	62¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?	Yes	23¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5	Under	47¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes	Missouri Tigers	40¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	No	67¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win

Finance 50% $-21 $151 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	92¢	97¢	+$1	win
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama	Yasutaka Uchiyama	38¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$12	win
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 2?	Down	73¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Geopolitics 58% $-82 $49,870 vol · 251 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	69¢	76¢	+$148	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	11¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	25¢	0¢	+$120	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-16	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	25¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-67	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	53¢	16¢	+$5	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	68¢	84¢	+$1	win
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	89¢	92¢	+$1	win

Tech 49% $-89 $2,965 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	88¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	No	45¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $260?	Yes	71¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 4?	Down	60¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 4?	No	61¢	100¢	$-5	loss

Economy 56% $-142 $925 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	67¢	96¢	+$22	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	89¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-212	loss
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	No	36¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Jackson State Tigers	Jackson State Tigers	74¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	No	58¢	0¢	$-117	loss

Other 53% $-168 $32,559 vol · 649 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	36¢	30¢	$-2	loss
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	76¢	57¢	$-14	loss
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	62¢	100¢	+$36	win
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	78¢	100¢	+$6	win
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	72¢	69¢	$-3	loss
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	62¢	53¢	$-6	loss
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	74¢	82¢	+$2	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	54¢	32¢	$-12	loss
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	47¢	8¢	$-15	loss
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	65¢	70¢	+$5	win

Culture 60% $-259 $1,106 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	No	29¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	No	91¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	86¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	No	23¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?	No	64¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 46% $-597 $7,198 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	40¢	43¢	+$4	win
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52¢	55¢	+$3	win
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	53¢	46¢	$-6	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	11¢	25¢	$-6	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	85¢	34¢	$-0	loss
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	56¢	60¢	+$3	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	19¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	77¢	86¢	$-3	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	56¢	1¢	$-10	loss

Crypto 40% $-976 $8,298 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	70¢	80¢	+$5	win
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	87¢	65¢	$-3	loss
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	73¢	68¢	+$0	—
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	63¢	60¢	$-1	loss
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?	No	63¢	47¢	$-25	loss
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	93¢	95¢	+$1	win
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	46¢	70¢	+$21	win
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?	No	85¢	90¢	+$1	win
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	49¢	38¢	$-9	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	56¢	18¢	$-27	loss