Win rate
78.9%
71 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-635
realized $-1,203 · unrealized $568
Portfolio
$568
volume $84,222
Predictions
125
1.4/day · avg $674
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$340
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 13? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 9? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 8? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Other 73% +$145
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 29¢ | 34¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 75¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Economy 100% +$110
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 58¢ | 8¢ | +$1 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 80% +$59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Elections 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Mentions 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Dplus KIA | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Tech 80% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 29? | Up | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
Esports 58% $-73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Anyones Legend | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-In | T1 Academy | 79¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Gen.G | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) | Top Esports | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) | G2 Esports | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 94% $-1,122
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 75.0¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Gen.G | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $114 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $144 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $586 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 62.1¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $21 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Anyones Legend | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $412 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $386 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $28 | 11/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $225 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $27 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8? | Yes | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $381 | 08/04/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $280 | 08/04/2026 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $104 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? | Yes | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $364 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $838 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $821 | 28/02/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Dplus KIA | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $119 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$284 | $1,388 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | $1,181 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,288 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $856 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $1,156 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 9? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $106 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 8? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $95 | 08/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $88 | 05/02/2026 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-In | T1 Academy | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $498 | 03/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $455 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $626 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $2,084 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $1,673 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $646 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $689 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $1,118 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $2,396 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $428 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $1,350 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,289 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $414 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $88 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,154 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 23.4¢ | 0¢ | $-1,730 | $1,981 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $306 | 28/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $599 | 17/01/2026 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $160 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 10/12/2025 |