Nopants

Other 54% +$673 $59,582 vol · 817 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	74¢	76¢	+$13	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	49¢	57¢	+$2	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	51¢	43¢	$-2	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	53¢	52¢	$-2	loss
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	19¢	6¢	+$0	—
Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	95¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	26¢	28¢	+$3	win
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	14¢	11¢	+$3	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	75¢	70¢	$-30	loss
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rocha	Roman Safiullin	45¢	46¢	+$0	win

Weather 67% +$68 $243 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5	Over	49¢	100¢	+$51	win
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	44¢	100¢	+$45	win
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes	Miami Hurricanes	51¢	100¢	+$44	win
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)	Providence Friars	48¢	0¢	$-38	loss
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Storm Hunter	Sinja Kraus	51¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 160.5	Under	58¢	100¢	+$17	win

Crypto 60% +$26 $195 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn	Reilly Opelka	37¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana	Francisco Comesana	55¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$26	win
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 3.5	Under	66¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Finance 67% +$11 $648 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?	Down	64¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	18¢	0¢	+$29	win
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82¢	100¢	$-28	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?	Down	57¢	0¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Down	34¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	No	75¢	68¢	$-0	loss

Politics 67% +$7 $3,238 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Lloyd Harris	Dusan Lajovic	64¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" during Monday news conference?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?	No	64¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	78¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Phoenix: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris	Aleksandar Vukic	67¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Spread: Austin Peay Governors (-11.5)	Austin Peay Governors	51¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?	No	59¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?	No	75¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Culture 100% +$3 $171 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?	No	49¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	43¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	56¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 80% +$2 $305 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	45¢	20¢	+$2	win
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	83¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	89¢	99¢	$-19	loss

Esports 47% $-70 $1,193 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	69¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	44¢	100¢	+$56	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	B8	70¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Favbet	55¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	Brute	53¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Gentle Mates	33¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	ex-RUBY	59¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	Lavked	49¢	100¢	+$51	win
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In	Bebop	56¢	100¢	+$44	win

Sports 47% $-163 $9,122 vol · 171 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	27¢	42¢	+$74	win
Nagasaki Velca vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies	Nagasaki Velca	76¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini	Jasmine Paolini	79¢	0¢	$-55	loss
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	48¢	100¢	+$26	win
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	56¢	100¢	+$22	win
Houston Astros vs. Athletics	Houston Astros	55¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees	Miami Marlins	41¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Raptors vs. Knicks	Raptors	31¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	41¢	100¢	+$59	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam Walton	Roman Andres Burruchaga	57¢	100¢	+$20	win

Geopolitics 49% $-202 $12,775 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	50¢	82¢	+$132	win
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	50¢	18¢	$-130	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	38¢	0¢	+$104	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	24¢	0¢	+$72	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	36¢	18¢	+$28	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	90¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	64¢	82¢	$-28	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-68	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	58¢	100¢	$-103	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	73¢	94¢	+$4	win

Tech 44% $-398 $745 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
KHL: Torpedo vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	67¢	0¢	$-67	loss
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	66¢	0¢	$-64	loss
ELH: Kometa vs. Dynamo Pardubice	Dynamo Pardubice	65¢	100¢	+$30	win
ELH: Kometa vs. Dynamo Pardubice	Dynamo Pardubice	58¢	100¢	+$45	win
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	81¢	100¢	+$19	win
CEHL: Motor Ceske Budejovice vs. Kometa	Motor Ceske Budejovice	60¢	0¢	$-60	loss
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Salavat Yulaev Ufa	38¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	55¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	92¢	0¢	$-274	loss