Win rate
58.8%
10 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$-188
realized $-1,975 · unrealized $1,788
Portfolio
$1,788
volume $19,214
Predictions
18
2.7/day · avg $1,067
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 28¢ | 18¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 34¢ | 19¢ | $-21 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$4 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 45¢ | +$1 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 67% $-176
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$7 | win |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $224 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 12¢ | +$31 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 18¢ | +$2 | $56 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 34.4¢ | 19¢ | $-21 | $227 | 12/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | No | 95.3¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $191 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 52.0¢ | 55¢ | +$4 | $104 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.4¢ | 45¢ | +$1 | $169 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36.0¢ | 34¢ | $-3 | $72 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 22¢ | +$20 | $226 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,604 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 10¢ | $-6 | $90 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79.0¢ | 78¢ | $-8 | $75 | 07/06/2026 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 91.4¢ | 78¢ | $-191 | $1,252 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 95.4¢ | 98¢ | +$7 | $269 | 01/01/2027 |
| USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $188 | 01/01/2027 |
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $442 | 01/01/2028 |
| Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 01/01/2028 |