Win rate
38.5%
5 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$-2,104
realized $-3,199 · unrealized $1,095
Portfolio
$1,095
volume $151,254
Predictions
32
0.4/day · avg $4,727
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$1,192
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 36¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 87¢ | 80¢ | $-405 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$883 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$780 | win |
Mentions 100% +$192
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$107 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
Economy 100% +$77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$77 | win |
Politics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 85¢ | 83¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 0% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 79¢ | 78¢ | $-28 | loss |
Elections 0% $-83
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 22¢ | $-83 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-6,394
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-4,486 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-1,507 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
Recent Trades (13)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 15? | No | 71.4¢ | 0¢ | $-4,486 | $4,486 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,507 | $1,507 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 99¢ | +$883 | $2,346 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$780 | $2,064 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $320 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 58.2¢ | 64¢ | +$107 | $1,009 | 20/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 99¢ | +$77 | $2,281 | 29/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 87.0¢ | 80¢ | $-405 | $3,015 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 85.4¢ | 83¢ | $-2 | $885 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 78.7¢ | 78¢ | $-28 | $563 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 35.5¢ | 36¢ | $-66 | $482 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 25.1¢ | 22¢ | $-83 | $570 | 30/04/2027 |