Win rate
21.6%
254 W / 922 L
Total PnL
$42,227
realized $41,070 · unrealized $1,158
Portfolio
$1,158
volume $5,943,900
Predictions
949
3.9/day · avg $6,263
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 20% +$39,563
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-297 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-506 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-490 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$1,679 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-288 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-694 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-252 | loss |
Crypto 79% +$474
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Down | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Down | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Down | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET | Down | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 4PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3PM ET | Up | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Solana above $240 on December 13? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Geopolitics 54% +$198
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 30¢ | +$2 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in June? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$66 | win |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | No | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Other 67% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
Esports 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nexus (BO3) | Nexus | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
Tech 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Sports 0% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Politics 44% $-722
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-529 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | win |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | Yes | 70.2¢ | 74¢ | +$44 | $956 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,166 | $1,184 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $-396 | $424 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $-529 | $630 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $85 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-297 | $257 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $-4,977 | $5,823 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | $161 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $114 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 49.1¢ | 0¢ | $-4,161 | $4,571 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | $124 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-506 | $515 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,330 | $2,030 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | $217 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $-480 | $566 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 24.6¢ | 0¢ | $-490 | $497 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 57.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,679 | $2,271 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | $441 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $314 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $105 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 24.4¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $57 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | $-288 | $381 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $348 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $177 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 82.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $274 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $-3,026 | $3,133 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-694 | $821 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $-272 | $272 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $293 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | Yes | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-252 | $360 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,257 | $1,299 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $-627 | $629 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $175 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,147 | $1,456 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 42.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4,353 | $4,482 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | $277 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 24.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,506 | $2,382 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 42.8¢ | 0¢ | $-2,095 | $2,185 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | $432 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026? | Yes | 62.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2,063 | $3,961 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3,427 | $4,134 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $278 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $207 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,536 | $4,427 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $-415 | $451 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | +$794 | $3,239 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | $238 | 30/03/2026 |