0x93EcAb4E9bfa23bb94cB1730032A238B4232052D-1774575231378

Politics 100% +$7 $78 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 56% +$4 $397 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	70¢	76¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	77¢	84¢	+$2	win
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	6¢	6¢	$-2	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	51¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	97¢	99¢	+$1	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	33¢	7¢	$-17	loss

Weather 100% +$1 $110 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 4?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Other 70% $-16 $574 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	83¢	84¢	+$0	win
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	5¢	6¢	$-1	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	96¢	99¢	+$5	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	57¢	48¢	$-2	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	31¢	38¢	+$1	win
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Team Vitality	91¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 50% $-18 $163 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	22¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Sports 0% $-30 $30 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Grizzlies	46¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Crypto 50% $-64 $477 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	52¢	100¢	+$39	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	83¢	100¢	+$36	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	56¢	100¢	+$15	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	6¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	49¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	35¢	0¢	$-86	loss