nachoih

Other 64% +$128 $3,184 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	85¢	96¢	$-4	loss
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	87¢	0¢	$-33	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	92¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	91¢	100¢	+$32	win

Politics 50% +$102 $4,977 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	74¢	74¢	$-24	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?	No	97¢	100¢	+$22	win

Geopolitics 54% $-429 $9,210 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-3	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$82	win
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	96¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	77¢	53¢	$-4	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$2	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	96¢	14¢	$-327	loss
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	No	96¢	100¢	$-223	loss
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win