mimicat2026

Geopolitics 45% +$1,633 $10,481 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	57¢	82¢	+$50	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	39¢	65¢	+$6	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	81¢	94¢	+$3	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	27¢	3¢	$-9	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	18¢	1¢	$-35	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$204	win
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	No	53¢	100¢	+$25	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	57¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	No	28¢	0¢	$-241	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	35¢	46¢	$-73	loss

Elections 100% +$294 $164 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?	No	35¢	100¢	+$250	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$43	win

Crypto 30% $-254 $835 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Copa Colsanitas: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Pareja	Elizabeth Mandlik	28¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	42¢	100¢	+$99	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	54¢	100¢	+$84	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	11¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	59¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	55¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	44¢	0¢	$-98	loss
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	6¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	50¢	100¢	+$101	win
Will XRP dip to $1.30 March 23-29?	No	2¢	0¢	$-75	loss

Finance 29% $-338 $3,234 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	No	27¢	0¢	$-128	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	73¢	100¢	+$73	win
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	50¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Janice Tjen vs Anna Bondar	Janice Tjen	50¢	50¢	+$0	—
Tjen vs. Bondar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Over	50¢	50¢	$-6	loss
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	13¢	0¢	$-108	loss
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	79¢	100¢	+$27	win
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	52¢	0¢	$-99	loss

Tech 0% $-350 $350 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 13 2026?	No	35¢	0¢	$-40	loss
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	24¢	0¢	$-111	loss
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?	No	30¢	0¢	$-199	loss

Politics 38% $-376 $1,143 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	+$0	—
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	7¢	0¢	$-133	loss
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	$-184	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Trump post "Panican" this week on Truth Social?	No	11¢	0¢	$-119	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-175	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	28¢	100¢	+$237	win
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?	No	52¢	72¢	+$17	win

Weather 0% $-450 $457 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	New Mexico Lobos	62¢	0¢	$-200	loss
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 160.5	Over	53¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 30?	No	6¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 30?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Esports 50% $-8,022 $57,503 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	54¢	80¢	+$82	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	36¢	100¢	+$99	win
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner	Misa Esports	62¢	0¢	$-81	loss
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	49¢	0¢	$-493	loss
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	18¢	100¢	+$682	win
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	43¢	0¢	$-215	loss
Dota 2: The goal of all life is death vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Vici Gaming	52¢	50¢	$-44	loss
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	89¢	100¢	+$231	win
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	91¢	100¢	+$77	win
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	Conviction	75¢	100¢	+$99	win

Sports 49% $-9,022 $65,137 vol · 334 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	6¢	8¢	+$0	—
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	No	45¢	100¢	+$30	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	60¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	22¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Blues vs. Utah	Blues	46¢	100¢	+$232	win
Ducks vs. Predators	Ducks	58¢	100¢	+$199	win
Sharks vs. Jets	Sharks	57¢	100¢	+$66	win
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	75¢	100¢	+$1	win
Sharks vs. Jets	Jets	71¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Kraken vs. Avalanche	Kraken	34¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Other 50% $-21,307 $138,513 vol · 371 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$20	win
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	14¢	0¢	$-31	loss
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	19¢	31¢	$-2	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	60¢	78¢	$-23	loss
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	67¢	39¢	$-58	loss
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	40¢	0¢	+$438	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	8¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	22¢	6¢	$-8	loss
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	23¢	6¢	$-157	loss
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom	Charles Broom	50¢	0¢	$-108	loss