Win rate
62.8%
821 W / 486 L
Total PnL
$-1,765
realized $-17,763 · unrealized $15,998
Portfolio
$15,998
volume $913,359
Predictions
2,074
31.7/day · avg $440
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/06/2022 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 60% +$9,273
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Jonathan Kuminga win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 90¢ | 99¢ | $-221 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | No | 75¢ | 1¢ | $-365 | loss |
| Will Norman Powell win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | Yes | 9¢ | 94¢ | +$237 | win |
| Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules? | Yes | 37¢ | 74¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 68% +$4,213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Amazon reach $244 in April? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | win |
| Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in April? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple reach $264 in April? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Tesla dip to $390 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon dip to $152 in April? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of April? | No | 87¢ | 68¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of April? | Yes | 54¢ | 84¢ | +$107 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 22¢ | +$14 | win |
Finance 56% +$1,532
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-239 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 9¢ | 100¢ | +$430 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9? | Up | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | win |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6700–6800 on April 8? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$264 | win |
Crypto 80% +$189
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 46¢ | 73¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 30¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will Kenneth Bednarek (USA) win Gold in 200m? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will $BTC reach 70k in July? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Culture 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 67% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye tweet less than 200 times February 8-14? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 68% $-1,305
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
Politics 63% $-1,682
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Joe Biden perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump visit Israel by October 15? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Elections 37% $-2,089
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the South Australian Greens win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-232 | loss |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election? | Labor Party | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-235 | loss |
| Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | loss |
| Will the Liberals win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 69% $-13,696
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$22 | win |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | No | 36¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Arsenal be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$24 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden State Warriors advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 65.4¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $119 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Los Angeles Clippers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $33 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Charlotte Hornets advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $27 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Miami Heat advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $215 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Golden State Warriors advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | Yes | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $81 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 24.2¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $40 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $56 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $91 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $76 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $650 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 42.8¢ | 0¢ | +$34 | $204 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $243 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $57.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $322.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $650 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $-346 | $389 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 57.1¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $610 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 51.3¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $131 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 33.4¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | $122 | 16/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 28.9¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $33 | 16/04/2026 |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $41 | 16/04/2026 |
| Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-348 | $385 | 16/04/2026 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-230 | $234 | 16/04/2026 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 42.8¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $115 | 15/04/2026 |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 46.5¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $103 | 15/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 47.1¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $91 | 15/04/2026 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 15? | Down | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $-309 | $1,284 | 15/04/2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 15? | Down | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 15/04/2026 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 15/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | $-239 | $250 | 14/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $97 | 14/04/2026 |