Win rate
71.4%
5 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$6
realized $-657 · unrealized $662
Portfolio
$662
volume $17,004
Predictions
64
0.3/day · avg $266
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 75¢ | 75¢ | +$9 | win |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 50% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 93¢ | $-17 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (10)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $155 | 15/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $213 | 01/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 94.5¢ | 93¢ | $-17 | $745 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $323 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 74.7¢ | 75¢ | +$9 | $412 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $124 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96.8¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $662 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $28 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94.4¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | $1,490 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.4¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $676 | 30/11/2026 |