0x9317...5a5f

Elections 64% +$39 $763 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	58¢	58¢	+$2	win
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	63¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	91¢	93¢	+$0	—
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	74¢	68¢	$-5	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	80¢	78¢	$-0	loss
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 75% +$10 $570 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	No	90¢	98¢	+$4	win
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	96¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	Yes	95¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	43¢	42¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	68¢	62¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-0 $271 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 60% $-34 $216 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 54% $-273 $10,555 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	96¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	91¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	98¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	JJ Aldrich	97¢	99¢	+$0	win
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Sharks vs. Jets	Sharks	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 69% $-310 $5,407 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	87¢	86¢	+$0	—
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	81¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	+$-0	—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	91¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$14	win
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	50¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	90¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	90¢	92¢	+$1	win
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 90% $-328 $9,328 vol · 207 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 16, 6AM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 72,800 on April 16, 5AM ET?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 73,800 on April 16, 10AM ET?	Yes	100¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 14, 10AM ET?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 75,600 on April 14, 10AM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Other 66% $-579 $26,265 vol · 183 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	91¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$0	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	95¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	99¢	99¢	+$-0	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	91¢	88¢	$-0	loss
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	—
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	70¢	76¢	+$2	win

Weather 80% $-695 $9,749 vol · 179 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 72% $-861 $13,449 vol · 106 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	FURIA	25¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	62¢	100¢	$-1	loss
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	50¢	100¢	+$19	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	64¢	0¢	$-50	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	65¢	100¢	+$16	win
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season	UCAM Esports Club	89¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	PARIVISION	76¢	0¢	$-300	loss