polywallet polymarket whale scanner
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Win rate
46.7%
754 W / 862 L
Total PnL
$5,870
realized $3,611 · unrealized $2,259
Portfolio
$2,259
volume $836,775
Predictions
2,431
8.8/day · avg $344

PnL history

Details

Joined28/03/2024
Last activity17/04/2026
Profiled at17/04/2026
Qualifiedno

Category breakdown

Politics 53% +$11,706 $73,592 vol · 864 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes $-2 loss
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 25¢ 42¢ +$119 win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? Yes $-62 loss
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes 22¢ 16¢ $-43 loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 16¢ $-57 loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? Yes 32¢ 40¢ $-18 loss
Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April? No 68¢ 97¢ +$86 win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? Yes 24¢ $-53 loss
Will Trump post "Charlie" or "Kirk" this week on Truth Social? Yes 50¢ 44¢ $-16 loss
Will Trump say "Christian" during TPUSA events on April 17? Yes 65¢ 45¢ $-39 loss
Crypto 55% +$671 $6,779 vol · 64 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 21¢ 36¢ +$102 win
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 54¢ 82¢ +$101 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ +$74 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 55¢ $-53 loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ +$132 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ +$104 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ +$86 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ +$59 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ +$52 win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ +$50 win
Culture 67% +$364 $319 vol · 3 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards? No 10¢ $-24 loss
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? No 27¢ 100¢ +$365 win
Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday? Yes 80¢ 100¢ +$23 win
Mentions 31% +$117 $2,135 vol · 16 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? Yes 24¢ $-36 loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? Yes 17¢ $-32 loss
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? Yes 33¢ $-100 loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? Yes 10¢ $-1 loss
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12? Yes 31¢ $-46 loss
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times August 29–September 5? Yes 10¢ $-21 loss
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25? Yes 21¢ +$43 win
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday? No 90¢ +$10 win
Will Zohran Mamdani tweet 40 or more times Tuesday? Yes 14¢ 100¢ +$129 win
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14? Yes 20¢ 100¢ +$96 win
Esports 100% +$75 $75 vol · 1 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? Yes 50¢ 100¢ +$75 win
Weather 33% $-40 $98 vol · 4 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? No 26¢ +$0
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30? No 25¢ +$7 win
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? No 25¢ $-25 loss
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes 11¢ $-22 loss
Economy 40% $-68 $779 vol · 10 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes $-70 loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Yes 18¢ $-72 loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Yes 45¢ 100¢ +$138 win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? Yes 12¢ $-38 loss
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 15+ times during speech on October 14? Yes 70¢ 100¢ +$32 win
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? Yes 41¢ $-68 loss
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 15+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22? Yes 61¢ 100¢ +$62 win
Will Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15? Yes 98¢ 100¢ +$2 win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? Yes 27¢ $-27 loss
Finance 33% $-93 $167 vol · 3 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call? No 82¢ $-46 loss
Will anyone say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call? Yes 48¢ $-48 loss
Tech 48% $-279 $1,706 vol · 24 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes $-21 loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? No 19¢ 100¢ +$127 win
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote? Yes 14¢ $-60 loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Yes 32¢ $-64 loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 24¢ $-73 loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 26¢ $-78 loss
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? No 13¢ $-45 loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call? Yes 60¢ $-46 loss
Will JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during remarks in NC on September 24? Yes 25¢ $-20 loss
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9? No 15¢ +$2 win
Geopolitics 35% $-415 $4,208 vol · 40 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Yes $-20 loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? No $-528 loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No 17¢ $-102 loss
Iran leadership change by April 30? Yes 11¢ $-19 loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? Yes 31¢ +$18 win
Sabres vs. Senators Sabres 48¢ $-48 loss
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? No 48¢ 100¢ +$202 win
Will US or Israel strike Iran first? US 31¢ 50¢ +$21 win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Yes 24¢ $-19 loss
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31? Yes 20¢ $-40 loss
Elections 41% $-1,440 $5,654 vol · 44 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 36¢ 34¢ $-10 loss
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 47¢ 44¢ $-30 loss
Will Trump say "Election" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? No 39¢ 100¢ +$122 win
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? Yes 33¢ $-99 loss
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes $-32 loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 64¢ 85¢ +$65 win
Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? Yes 10¢ $-34 loss
Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? Yes 19¢ $-95 loss
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? Yes 16¢ $-41 loss
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? Yes 20¢ $-50 loss
Other 44% $-1,851 $24,778 vol · 232 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? Yes 12¢ $-84 loss
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? Yes 36¢ 36¢ +$19 win
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 10¢ +$9 win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 75¢ 82¢ +$8 win
US strike on Cuba by March 31? Yes 10¢ $-43 loss
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 24¢ $-20 loss
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $-1 loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Yes 30¢ $-90 loss
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $-1 loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? No 63¢ 93¢ $-18 loss
Sports 34% $-4,248 $25,112 vol · 325 trades
MarketPositionAvg PriceCur PricePnLStatus
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes $-3 loss
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes $-19 loss
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes $-62 loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? No 20¢ $-63 loss
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? Yes 46¢ 64¢ +$12 win
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? Yes 22¢ $-43 loss
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs? Yes 23¢ $-55 loss
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs? No 50¢ $-25 loss
Oilers vs. Utah Oilers 44¢ $-64 loss
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Yes 20¢ $-19 loss

Recent Trades (50)

Market Position Avg Price Cur Price PnL Volume Settled
Will Trump say "Christian" during TPUSA events on April 17? Yes 65.0¢ 45¢ $-39 $97 17/04/2026
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? Yes 20.0¢ $-100 $100 17/04/2026
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? Yes 34.2¢ 33¢ $-5 $137 17/04/2026
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during TPUSA events on April 17? No 90.0¢ 90¢ $-2 $270 17/04/2026
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? Yes 27.0¢ $-81 $81 17/04/2026
Will Trump say "Woke" during TPUSA events on April 17? Yes 39.0¢ 34¢ $-11 $83 17/04/2026
Will Trump say "Secret Service" during TPUSA events on April 17? Yes 25.0¢ 22¢ $-6 $38 17/04/2026
Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? Yes 65.0¢ 58¢ $-3 $33 17/04/2026
Will Trump say "Election" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? No 39.0¢ 100¢ +$122 $78 16/04/2026
Will Trump say "Biden" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? Yes 75.0¢ 100¢ +$78 $300 16/04/2026
Will Trump say "Tax" 10+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? Yes 89.0¢ 100¢ +$33 $267 16/04/2026
Will Trump say "Dow" or "S&P" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? No 21.0¢ +$1 $21 16/04/2026
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? Yes 10.0¢ $-11 $20 16/04/2026
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs? Yes 23.0¢ $-55 $115 16/04/2026
Will Trump say "Percent" 10+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? Yes 58.0¢ $-68 $116 16/04/2026
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs? No 50.0¢ $-25 $25 16/04/2026
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Fox interview on Wednesday? Yes 25.5¢ 100¢ +$131 $45 15/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 65.0¢ 100¢ +$74 $136 15/04/2026
Will Trump say "Leo" or "Pope" during Fox interview on Wednesday? No 68.1¢ 100¢ +$68 $144 15/04/2026
Will Trump say "Biden" during Fox interview on Wednesday? Yes 75.0¢ 100¢ +$50 $150 15/04/2026
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? Yes 5.2¢ $-32 $32 15/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 55.0¢ $-53 $55 15/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 73.6¢ 100¢ +$132 $368 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 58.4¢ 100¢ +$104 $146 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 42.8¢ 100¢ +$86 $64 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 70.6¢ 100¢ +$59 $141 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 65.0¢ 100¢ +$52 $98 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 75.0¢ 100¢ +$50 $150 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 53.0¢ 100¢ +$47 $53 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 56.0¢ 100¢ +$44 $56 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 60.0¢ 100¢ +$40 $60 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 77.9¢ 100¢ +$36 $126 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 76.0¢ 100¢ +$32 $100 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 90.0¢ 100¢ +$30 $270 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 70.7¢ 100¢ +$29 $70 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 75.0¢ 100¢ +$25 $75 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 88.0¢ 100¢ +$24 $176 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 90.0¢ 100¢ +$20 $180 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 90.0¢ 100¢ +$20 $180 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 95.0¢ 100¢ +$5 $100 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 21.0¢ $-21 $21 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 14.7¢ $-66 $70 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 68.5¢ $-237 $240 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 21.5¢ $-43 $43 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 21.0¢ $-28 $30 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 65.0¢ $-78 $78 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 24.0¢ $-28 $30 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 60.0¢ $-68 $70 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 22.0¢ $-21 $22 14/04/2026
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 6.0¢ +$66 $21 14/04/2026