pabrikduit

Other 77% +$4,341 $92,787 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	75¢	72¢	$-254	loss
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$300	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	65¢	100¢	+$345	win
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?	No	92¢	100¢	+$80	win
Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?	No	63¢	0¢	+$62	win
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	60¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$70	win

Crypto 78% +$2,886 $202,746 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	76¢	100¢	+$115	win
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	92¢	91¢	$-212	loss
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	86¢	84¢	$-261	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	45¢	42¢	$-122	loss
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$26	win
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	66¢	0¢	$-96	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	89¢	96¢	+$74	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	83¢	12¢	$-720	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	No	88¢	100¢	+$292	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	No	96¢	100¢	+$79	win

Elections 80% +$1,148 $12,276 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	96¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	37¢	37¢	+$7	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$183	win
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$512	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$165	win
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?	No	86¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$270	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Tech 88% +$631 $9,157 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	93¢	93¢	+$3	win
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	+$130	win
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Will Pamela Anderson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?	No	79¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	No	82¢	100¢	+$44	win
OpenAI browser in 2025?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$19	win

Economy 60% +$445 $6,900 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	80¢	99¢	+$30	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$600	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-359	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Sports 53% +$230 $9,344 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	15¢	11¢	$-135	loss
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	21¢	13¢	$-42	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	20¢	20¢	+$0	—
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$231	win
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$219	win
Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$104	win
Mavericks vs. Jazz	Jazz	37¢	100¢	+$126	win
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$70	win
Warriors vs. Bulls	Warriors	93¢	100¢	+$21	win

Culture 57% +$144 $4,280 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	No	97¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$80	win

Politics 72% +$84 $7,876 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-210	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	56¢	92¢	+$27	win
Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?	No	92¢	100¢	+$80	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	88¢	100¢	+$203	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$23	win
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?	No	38¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	51¢	0¢	$-210	loss
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$146	win
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?	No	30¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?	No	79¢	100¢	+$25	win

Geopolitics 73% $-754 $29,365 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$310	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	73¢	92¢	+$40	win
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	94¢	96¢	+$16	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	11¢	8¢	$-35	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	34¢	0¢	$-334	loss
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?	No	78¢	0¢	$-780	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$99	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	86¢	0¢	$-320	loss
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	No	70¢	100¢	+$274	win
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	82¢	0¢	$-820	loss