gilbert

Other 68% +$22,589 $957,424 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?	No	76¢	100¢	+$637	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$791	win
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1,666	win
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2025 FedEx Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Colorado Rockies win the NL West Division?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Vit Kopriva	Sinner	100¢	100¢	+$45	win
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	No	99¢	100¢	+$484	win
Minnesota Twins sale announced before July?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Politics 40% +$20,677 $1,549,735 vol · 131 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2,160	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1,111	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	62¢	100¢	+$4,970	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1,512	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$666	win
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$344	win
Trump out as President in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$271	win
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$807	win
Will Harris English win the 2025 Tour Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?	No	93¢	100¢	+$400	win

Sports 93% +$17,513 $1,296,610 vol · 171 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	96¢	97¢	+$70	win
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$472	win
Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Seahawks vs. Commanders	Seahawks	99¢	100¢	+$740	win
Vikings vs. Chargers	Chargers	100¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Andrew Novak win the 2025 Tour Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Jason Day win the 2025 BMW Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-613	loss
Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$126	win

Geopolitics 100% +$4,458 $182,201 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$83	win
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$2,634	win
Israel military action against Iraq before November?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,490	win
Israel military response against Iran in October?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$14	win
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?	No	100¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$108	win
Will Pelosi say "Ukraine" at DNC speech?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 100% +$2,419 $40,763 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$163	win
Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will $BTC reach 80k before September?	No	99¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?	No	82¢	100¢	+$1,891	win

Economy 75% +$2,272 $353,092 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$678	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$295	win
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$168	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-4,236	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$785	win

Tech 88% $-157 $45,528 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$142	win
Will Diddy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-318	loss

Elections 56% $-19,361 $853,117 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	85¢	84¢	$-175	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85¢	84¢	$-75	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$1,617	win
Will Kamala say "Russia" or "Russian" in her speech after the election is called?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Kamala say "Democracy" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-488	loss
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?	No	77¢	100¢	+$4,800	win
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$2,358	win
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?	No	72¢	100¢	+$1,683	win