0x90F8885EDd7726967E72AdAb29d88f7321508033-1765700831622

Sports 88% +$242 $1,421 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$11	win
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?	No	55¢	0¢	$-183	loss
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$73	win
Islanders vs. Sharks	Islanders	72¢	100¢	+$78	win
76ers vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	59¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$36	win
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	68¢	100¢	+$112	win

Geopolitics 78% +$191 $1,584 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	66¢	31¢	$-36	loss
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	+$5	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	No	92¢	100¢	+$29	win
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	78¢	100¢	+$83	win
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?	No	55¢	100¢	+$75	win
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$27	win

Finance 100% +$96 $224 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?	Up	62¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$44	win

Tech 100% +$77 $329 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$23	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	79¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26?	No	28¢	100¢	+$24	win

Culture 100% +$41 $200 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$41	win

Politics 67% +$36 $570 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	85¢	90¢	$-15	loss
Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	69¢	100¢	+$42	win

Mentions 100% +$29 $99 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?	No	71¢	100¢	+$29	win

Elections 43% $-28 $876 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	82¢	83¢	$-1	loss
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	Yes	91¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	91¢	94¢	+$3	win
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	86¢	39¢	$-68	loss

Other 62% $-324 $3,333 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$129	win
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	5¢	5¢	+$19	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	57¢	56¢	+$6	win
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?	Yes	86¢	0¢	$-230	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	64¢	63¢	$-2	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	85¢	99¢	+$86	win
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$29	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	73¢	100¢	$-79	loss
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-292	loss

Crypto 0% $-329 $379 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?	Yes	83¢	0¢	$-207	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	68¢	0¢	$-30	loss