Win rate
60.2%
130 W / 86 L
Total PnL
$1,035
realized $-330 · unrealized $1,364
Portfolio
$1,364
volume $269,399
Predictions
1,086
2.6/day · avg $248
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/06/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 67% +$1,227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 60¢ | 56¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 | Mayweather | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? | No | 47¢ | 95¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? | No | 58¢ | 81¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Miami vs. Ohio State | Miami | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | win |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Geopolitics 83% +$654
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 50% +$207
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | Yes | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 100% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
Economy 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Esports 50% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday? | No | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Tech 67% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | Yes | 70¢ | 36¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 59¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Sports 54% $-120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$8 | win |
| Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season? | No | 61¢ | 97¢ | +$102 | win |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 42¢ | 46¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Broncos | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Rams vs. Bears | Rams | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Texans | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Rams vs. Bears | Bears | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Culture 36% $-161
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will 'Wicked' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will someone else be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Crypto 43% $-301
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - January 10, 10AM ET | Down | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - January 10, 10AM ET | Down | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will $cult launch in 2024? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-252 | loss |
| Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$33 | win |
| Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Dexscreener Moonshot token hits $10m by Friday? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 63% $-598
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | No | 26¢ | 36¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 14¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025? | No | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Trump transgender sports ban? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$222 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 25.7¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $52 | 12/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 62.9¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $65 | 25/01/2026 |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Broncos | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $35 | 25/01/2026 |
| Rams vs. Bears | Rams | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $100 | 18/01/2026 |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $50 | 18/01/2026 |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Texans | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $50 | 18/01/2026 |
| Rams vs. Bears | Bears | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 18/01/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - January 10, 10AM ET | Down | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 10/01/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 10, 10AM ET | Down | 21.1¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 10/01/2026 |
| Scorigami in NFL Week 18? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $51 | 06/01/2026 |
| Miami vs. Ohio State | Miami | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | $75 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | No | 45.8¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $96 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025? | No | 49.3¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $31 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? | No | 38.7¢ | 100¢ | +$457 | $315 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 44.7¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | $134 | 31/12/2025 |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $82 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $54 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? | No | 46.3¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $20 | 31/12/2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? | No | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | No | 27.7¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $92 | 31/12/2025 |
| Scorigami in NFL Week 15? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 16/12/2025 |
| Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade? | No | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $24 | 27/11/2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31? | No | 51.6¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $63 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $110 | 31/10/2025 |
| Scorigami in NFL Week 4? | No | 64.7¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $117 | 30/09/2025 |
| Scorigami in NFL Week 3? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $50 | 26/09/2025 |
| Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7? | No | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 07/09/2025 |
| Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 04/07/2025 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files? | Yes | 58.8¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $223 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $100 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $26 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $248 | 31/05/2025 |
| Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | No | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $104 | 30/04/2025 |
| Trump transgender sports ban? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $30 | 29/04/2025 |
| Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $103 | 29/04/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | Yes | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $21 | 29/04/2025 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $52 | 29/04/2025 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | No | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $31 | 29/04/2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $22 | 28/04/2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | No | 42.1¢ | 100¢ | +$222 | $248 | 31/03/2025 |
| Trudeau out before April? | No | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 31/03/2025 |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Spurs | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $56 | 28/02/2025 |
| Trump releases Epstein list today? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $151 | 27/02/2025 |
| Trump releases Epstein list today? | No | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $20 | 27/02/2025 |
| Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $23 | 09/02/2025 |
| Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $31 | 09/02/2025 |