Win rate
64.4%
67 W / 37 L
Total PnL
$1,253
realized $-73 · unrealized $1,326
Portfolio
$1,326
volume $88,543
Predictions
707
9.7/day · avg $125
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 71% +$102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 16? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 10? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 1? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 30? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30? | No | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 29? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 28? | No | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on March 27? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 1¢ | $-631 | loss |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 99¢ | +$631 | win |
Politics 0% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
Mentions 25% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-236 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 16? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 10? | No | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $21 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 8? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $300 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 1? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 30? | Yes | 31.5¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $34 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30? | No | 72.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $25 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 29? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $32 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 29? | Yes | 26.1¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $23 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on March 28? | No | 83.2¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $75 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 28? | No | 97.3¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | $287 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $43 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on March 27? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $295 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on March 27? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $299 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 27? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $26 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27? | No | 96.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $89 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 27? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $25 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on March 26? | Yes | 34.1¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $45 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on March 26? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $82 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 26? | Yes | 64.5¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $47 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 26? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $31 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 25? | Yes | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $28 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 24? | No | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $39 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $200 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 23? | No | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $38 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 23? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $157 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on March 22? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21? | Yes | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $332 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 21? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 21? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $198 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21? | No | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $193 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 21? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $358 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 21? | No | 94.4¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $258 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 19? | Yes | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $443 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $62 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 20? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $150 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 19? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $357 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 20? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $250 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 20? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $155 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on March 20? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 20? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $200 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on March 20? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 20? | Yes | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $22 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 18? | Yes | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $111 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 18? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $25 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 18? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $165 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 18? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $335 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 17? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17? | Yes | 79.4¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $124 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on March 17? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $300 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $31 | 17/03/2026 |