Win rate
56.0%
246 W / 193 L
Total PnL
$2,175
realized $411 · unrealized $1,764
Portfolio
$1,764
volume $282,248
Predictions
1,168
13.7/day · avg $242
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 56% +$765
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Warriors | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 | Under | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Trail Blazers | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) | Lakers | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Spread: 76ers (-16.5) | 76ers | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | loss |
Elections 100% +$46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? | Yes | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 61¢ | 86¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? | Yes | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 53¢ | 41¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 58% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 28¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | No | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 94¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sean Casten be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Other 51% $-52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | No | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 37¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 59% $-88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 9AM ET | Down | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Up | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Geopolitics 64% $-133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 59¢ | 76¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 68¢ | 22¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 78¢ | 72¢ | $-6 | loss |
Esports 50% $-148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5 | Under | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5 | Over | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | Astralis | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | FUT Esports | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | Liquid | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-137 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner | GamerLegion | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs | Sinners | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | NRG | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | Top Esports | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner | GamerLegion | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Warriors | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $35 | 16/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 | Under | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $36 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Trail Blazers | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $109 | 15/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48.5¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $62 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | No | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $55 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) | Lakers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) | Lakers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-16.5) | 76ers | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | $150 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 73.5¢ | 99¢ | +$15 | $45 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Bucks (-10.5) | Bucks | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $36 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Bucks (-9.5) | Bucks | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $37 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) | Hawks | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $39 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) | Rockets | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Heat (-15.5) | Heat | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Rockets | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) | Hawks | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $35 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-11.5) | Pelicans | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $35 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-10.5) | Magic | 51.1¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $36 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5 | Under | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $35 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 48.5¢ | 92¢ | +$44 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Under | 51.9¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 06/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $35 | 05/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 84.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $56 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nets (-3.5) | Wizards | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $77 | 05/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Over | 46.5¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $69 | 04/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5 | Under | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $167 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | $174 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $95 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Spurs | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 04/04/2026 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | Arizona Wildcats | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Heat (-18.5) | Heat | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Heat (-17.5) | Heat | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $21 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Knicks | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $70 | 03/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $35 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Timberwolves | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-16.5) | Nuggets | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $38 | 02/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Spurs | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) | Rockets | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 02/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Raptors | 69.6¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $35 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-14.5) | 76ers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $38 | 01/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Rockets | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $35 | 01/04/2026 |