Kevin.K

Crypto 75% +$386 $10,928 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?	No	55¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?	No	60¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?	No	49¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?	No	44¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 19?	No	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 16?	No	75¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?	No	48¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?	No	55¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?	No	60¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?	No	70¢	100¢	+$9	win

Politics 67% +$46 $4,525 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	90¢	92¢	+$0	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	53¢	31¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	53¢	59¢	$-6	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	41¢	41¢	+$10	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	20¢	6¢	+$3	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	No	72¢	99¢	+$7	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	No	96¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Other 44% $-191 $3,613 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	82¢	82¢	$-0	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	52¢	52¢	$-1	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	90¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	17¢	18¢	$-19	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	69¢	81¢	+$10	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	71¢	42¢	$-69	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	19¢	56¢	+$0	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	81¢	96¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 44% $-243 $20,538 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	19¢	16¢	$-4	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	77¢	84¢	+$11	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	73¢	70¢	$-4	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	68¢	78¢	+$42	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	26¢	30¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	33¢	22¢	$-47	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	73¢	90¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	91¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	85¢	94¢	+$0	win