Win rate
39.1%
279 W / 434 L
Total PnL
$-66,901
realized $-73,627 · unrealized $6,726
Portfolio
$6,726
volume $4,383,751
Predictions
1,216
11.6/day · avg $3,605
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Culture 100% +$219
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | win |
Finance 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 0% $-361
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-361 | loss |
Politics 40% $-600
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 65¢ | 68¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 49¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 25¢ | 12¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will Trump sue the BBC? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | win |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-539 | loss |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
Economy 0% $-881
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | loss |
Esports 0% $-953
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-953 | loss |
Other 32% $-2,257
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 29¢ | 30¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | +$67 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 72¢ | 18¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 32¢ | 18¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Geopolitics 33% $-15,857
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$9 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-10,022 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 20¢ | 16¢ | +$30 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Renato Moicano | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Chris Duncan | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
Sports 54% $-16,382
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 8¢ | 2¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Rockets | 65¢ | 48¢ | $-616 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 54¢ | 52¢ | +$178 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card) | Julien LeBlanc | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Karine Silva | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-276 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Charles Jourdain | 65¢ | 52¢ | $-111 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Mike Malott | 72¢ | 70¢ | $-7 | loss |
Crypto 31% $-40,102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 26¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$214 | win |
| Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-1,650 | loss |
| Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | loss |
| Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-548 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$304 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Rockets | 64.8¢ | 48¢ | $-616 | $1,490 | 19/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 54.0¢ | 52¢ | +$178 | $2,160 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card) | Julien LeBlanc | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $110 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Karine Silva | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $-276 | $279 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | $675 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Charles Jourdain | 65.2¢ | 52¢ | $-111 | $552 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Mike Malott | 72.0¢ | 70¢ | $-7 | $360 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Thiago Moises | 44.1¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $155 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 64.3¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | $220 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Kyler Phillips | 54.3¢ | 48¢ | $-14 | $121 | 19/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) | Mandel Nallo | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $122 | 19/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 85.0¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | $85 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 100¢ | +$939 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 70.8¢ | 100¢ | +$642 | $1,558 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 62.6¢ | 100¢ | +$374 | $626 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 18/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | $-311 | $311 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 18.5¢ | 0¢ | $-370 | $370 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-579 | $945 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$728 | $4,610 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Hawks | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $-289 | $290 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 81.3¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | $2,440 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-630 | $630 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,356 | $1,687 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 52.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,507 | $4,230 | 16/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$250 | $1,372 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | $205 | 15/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Blues | Blues | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $193 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $82 | 14/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Suns | 76.3¢ | 100¢ | +$237 | $902 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 71.5¢ | 100¢ | +$234 | $1,786 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $2,145 | 13/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $1,113 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $511 | 13/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Rockets | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $709 | 13/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Kings | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | $-73 | $896 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit | 55.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,248 | $1,554 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims) | Aaron Pico | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $1,191 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Heat | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $2,322 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Dominick Reyes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $124 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Knicks | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | $-43 | $709 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Johnny Walker | 44.5¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $180 | 12/04/2026 |