paisano1978

Sports 45% +$406 $4,023 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	41¢	40¢	$-1	loss
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	—
Pistons vs. Raptors	Raptors	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers	76ers	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	50¢	100¢	+$30	win
Timberwolves vs. Thunder	Thunder	50¢	100¢	+$30	win
Timberwolves vs. Thunder	Timberwolves	50¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	50¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Pistons vs. Raptors	Pistons	50¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Finance 49% +$328 $3,121 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	70¢	72¢	+$1	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?	No	45¢	100¢	+$119	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-21	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?	Up	27¢	0¢	+$12	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?	Down	61¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 24?	Down	50¢	100¢	+$100	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?	Down	50¢	100¢	+$100	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?	Up	50¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 24?	Up	36¢	0¢	$-93	loss

Culture 100% +$17 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$17	win

Tech 50% +$16 $137 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	56¢	70¢	+$24	win
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	40¢	82¢	$-8	loss

Mentions 67% +$11 $264 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?	No	26¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$6	win

Weather 0% +$0 $376 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 18?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?	No	99¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 0% $-17 $29 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-17	loss

Politics 0% $-54 $54 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	No	23¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-55 $279 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	+$0	—
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	0¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Elections 25% $-114 $2,001 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-65	loss
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	33¢	28¢	$-6	loss
Will Pierangelo Del Zotto win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-48	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	82¢	84¢	$-13	loss
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	25¢	2¢	$-62	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	80¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	Yes	51¢	100¢	$-18	loss

Crypto 51% $-333 $16,180 vol · 148 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	66¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	85¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	80¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	50¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$148	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?	No	50¢	0¢	$-98	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	No	50¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	82¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-120	loss

Other 28% $-359 $2,512 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	16¢	18¢	+$2	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	91¢	82¢	+$0	—
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	51¢	58¢	$-6	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	70¢	57¢	$-15	loss
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-50	loss
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	19¢	37¢	+$125	win
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	91¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	68¢	16¢	$-34	loss