0x1aAA280b3a3C93E5DBbe67946d9E393686B1Cb5c-1772326327814

Geopolitics 40% +$44 $657 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	84¢	94¢	+$10	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$110	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	6¢	1¢	$-15	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	38¢	0¢	$-34	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$0	—

Other 50% +$26 $358 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	3¢	1¢	$-19	loss
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Maria	Sloane Stephens	39¢	100¢	+$43	win
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Ruse	Gabriela Ruse	68¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	31¢	1¢	$-19	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	69¢	99¢	+$19	win

Mentions 50% $-7 $165 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	70¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-55	loss

Elections 60% $-11 $265 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	74¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	75¢	100¢	+$10	win

Sports 42% $-169 $404 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	87¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	82¢	85¢	+$1	win
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	68¢	100¢	+$11	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	37¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Baltimore Orioles	68¢	0¢	$-27	loss
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoe	Tommy Paul	64¢	100¢	+$23	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	60¢	100¢	+$16	win
Canucks vs. Kings	Kings	82¢	100¢	+$6	win
76ers vs. Heat	76ers	55¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Crypto 47% $-378 $1,433 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?	No	65¢	67¢	+$5	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?	Down	35¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?	No	36¢	100¢	+$57	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?	Up	62¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?	No	23¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-130	loss