xSanctuary

Elections 38% +$2,822 $28,239 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$65	win
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	No	50¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-207	loss
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Esports 44% +$701 $5,135 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	32¢	100¢	+$106	win
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	DN SOOPers	23¢	0¢	$-92	loss
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season	Bushido Wildcats	28¢	0¢	$-112	loss
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	48¢	0¢	$-126	loss
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 2 Winner	BIG	32¢	0¢	$-123	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	34¢	100¢	+$97	win
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	18¢	100¢	+$84	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner	BNK FEARX	10¢	0¢	$-25	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner	Team Secret Whales	31¢	0¢	$-50	loss
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner	T1 Academy	57¢	100¢	+$108	win

Finance 0% $-270 $270 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	36¢	0¢	$-270	loss

Economy 36% $-556 $2,495 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-1	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-195	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-48	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	45¢	100¢	+$18	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	41¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-250	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	No	15¢	0¢	+$7	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-90	loss

Culture 39% $-560 $5,700 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	No	5¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 1?	No	72¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	No	5¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-204	loss
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$71	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	9¢	0¢	+$23	win

Tech 14% $-727 $896 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	0¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?	No	37¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?	No	15¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-448	loss

Mentions 29% $-805 $2,110 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-216	loss
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-276	loss
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$122	win
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?	No	45¢	100¢	+$20	win

Geopolitics 45% $-1,784 $10,110 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-178	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	42¢	78¢	+$408	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$34	win
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	15¢	10¢	+$31	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	16¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	31¢	22¢	$-48	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	40¢	0¢	$-164	loss
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	7¢	2¢	$-3	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$313	win

Sports 38% $-4,676 $42,717 vol · 249 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	13¢	23¢	+$48	win
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	20¢	4¢	+$6	win
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva	Mirra Andreeva	27¢	36¢	+$153	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez	Zeynep Sonmez	49¢	0¢	+$203	win
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Makhmudov	6¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Mavericks vs. Clippers	Mavericks	22¢	0¢	$-99	loss
Timberwolves vs. Pacers	Pacers	14¢	0¢	$-34	loss
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	French Flair	28¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-541	loss

Other 37% $-4,982 $73,878 vol · 428 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	26¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	44¢	66¢	+$2	win
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	5¢	3¢	$-38	loss
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	38¢	14¢	$-1	loss
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	3¢	100¢	+$533	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-92	loss
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	No	9¢	0¢	$-12	loss
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan	Denis Shapovalov	53¢	0¢	+$0	—
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev	Tomas Machac	40¢	0¢	$-295	loss

Politics 27% $-9,697 $25,758 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$31	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$3	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	29¢	59¢	+$166	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	Yes	28¢	8¢	$-212	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?	No	26¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?	Yes	38¢	0¢	+$31	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	Yes	39¢	100¢	$-233	loss

Crypto 41% $-9,874 $33,962 vol · 122 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	51¢	66¢	$-12	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	30¢	8¢	$-103	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?	No	2¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$154	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	15¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-350	loss
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$83	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12PM ET	Up	6¢	0¢	$-57	loss