duderr

Other 52% +$940,046 $4,590,190 vol · 728 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	+$4,490	win
Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$510	win
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$391	win
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	71¢	100¢	$-55	loss
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	0¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-129	loss
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	5¢	100¢	+$595,518	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	5¢	100¢	+$509,920	win

Politics 60% +$50,146 $1,608,079 vol · 449 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	57¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$261	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	$-119	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	19¢	8¢	$-450	loss
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	2¢	0¢	$-584	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	56¢	55¢	+$37	win
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	7¢	19¢	+$990	win
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$112	win
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$18	win

Elections 33% +$50,066 $1,140,230 vol · 173 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$499	win
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	86¢	100¢	$-609	loss
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	36¢	0¢	+$1,799	win
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	94¢	100¢	$-331	loss
Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Governor Democratic primary election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Sports 54% +$36,760 $792,784 vol · 506 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner	Galions Sharks	9¢	50¢	+$2,276	win
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 2 Winner	French Flair	7¢	50¢	+$424	win
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7,024	win
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	14¢	0¢	+$184	win
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$1,036	win
Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Capitals vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	66¢	100¢	+$102	win
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5	Over	47¢	100¢	+$689	win
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Seahawks	46¢	100¢	+$540	win
Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	51¢	0¢	$-1,020	loss

Tech 55% +$9,583 $338,759 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-105	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$206	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	+$419	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-615	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-300	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	No	2¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$450	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2,730	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	No	7¢	0¢	+$2,061	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1,633	loss

Esports 68% +$4,984 $24,048 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Marist Red Foxes vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 131.5	Under	51¢	100¢	+$490	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)	Natus Vincere	34¢	100¢	+$301	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)	B8	53¢	100¢	+$377	win
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial (BO3)	Passion UA	55¢	100¢	+$266	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)	G2	32¢	0¢	$-478	loss
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)	Passion UA	45¢	100¢	+$828	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)	B8	51¢	100¢	+$140	win
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)	3DMAX	48¢	0¢	+$14	win
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)	Imperial	45¢	100¢	+$660	win
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)	fnatic	43¢	0¢	$-649	loss

Weather 73% +$4,096 $19,003 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Palisades fire burn between 20-30k acres in total?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?	No	4¢	0¢	$-40	loss
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclones	St. Johns Red Storm	45¢	0¢	$-992	loss
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 171.5	Over	51¢	100¢	+$1,960	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3,070	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$110	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?	No	2¢	0¢	+$720	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-735	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 27?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 56% +$2,945 $77,192 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$1,920	win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-189	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-348	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	77¢	100¢	$-304	loss
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?	No	16¢	100¢	+$31	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	83¢	0¢	+$54	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$593	win

Finance 67% +$1,877 $12,402 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$32	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 10?	Up	1¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	99¢	100¢	$-245	loss
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	41¢	100¢	+$1,793	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?	No	91¢	100¢	+$321	win
Will Buffett say "Federal Reserve" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?	No	30¢	100¢	+$37	win

Mentions 46% +$896 $24,957 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$264	win
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$172	win
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?	No	10¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?	No	11¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 18–25?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?	No	1¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Culture 60% +$337 $15,646 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$111	win
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?	No	100¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will Drake release a new song in 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-41	loss
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$572	win
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?	No	39¢	100¢	$-58	loss
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-280	loss
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will "Only Murders in the Building" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Crypto 56% $-12,873 $428,327 vol · 77 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$122	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	100¢	100¢	$-4,289	loss
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-7,595	loss
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$69	win
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	No	100¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	8¢	0¢	+$1,034	win
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?	No	5¢	0¢	+$454	win
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	3000	99¢	100¢	+$250	win

Geopolitics 56% $-219,463 $4,384,548 vol · 422 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2,610	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	81¢	0¢	$-313	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	13¢	0¢	$-182	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	97¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	75¢	0¢	$-220	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	50¢	70¢	+$329	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	30¢	+$0	—
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	0¢	0¢	$-20	loss