EP10

Geopolitics 100% +$10 $580 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	29¢	34¢	+$10	win

Weather 0% $-120 $158 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 20?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-120	loss

Esports 33% $-128 $3,275 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Evil Geniuses	33¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage	Dortmund eSports	31¢	0¢	+$10	win
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	Nigma Galaxy	46¢	100¢	+$0	win
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Gentle Mates	60¢	100¢	+$0	—
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Sentinels	54¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO5) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs	PARIVISION	93¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Valorant: ghosts vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B	ghosts	31¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	Bilibili Gaming	67¢	100¢	+$-0	—

Other 65% $-714 $10,756 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?	No	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Jesper de Jong vs Benjamin Bonzi	Benjamin Bonzi	38¢	0¢	$-380	loss
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pedro Martinez	39¢	100¢	+$714	win
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez	Alejo Sanchez Quilez	24¢	0¢	+$24	win
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	39¢	0¢	+$21	win
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekic	Donna Vekic	47¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants	Kolkata Knight Riders	29¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-04-11?	No	85¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 0% $-1,700 $1,700 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-400	loss

Sports 33% $-1,943 $14,250 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	7¢	6¢	$-14	loss
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	89¢	92¢	+$87	win
Oilers vs. Kings	Kings	69¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Oilers vs. Kings	Oilers	30¢	0¢	$-307	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	27¢	0¢	+$20	win
Heat vs. Raptors	Heat	41¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	No	65¢	100¢	+$1,235	win
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-1,946	loss
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?	No	75¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss

Elections 0% $-1,970 $4,998 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-1,970	loss

Crypto 40% $-2,435 $5,534 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	5¢	1¢	$-29	loss
Will Solana dip to $70 on April 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-2,408	loss
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$74	win