Win rate
37.5%
9 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-14
realized $-921 · unrealized $907
Portfolio
$907
volume $208,665
Predictions
44
1.8/day · avg $4,742
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 29% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
Elections 33% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 40¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 38% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 17¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $-5 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $3,640 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,005 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.2¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $916 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 4.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $168 | 29/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $43 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $906 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $918 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $902 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $4,994 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $3,640 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $4,087 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 76.6¢ | 76¢ | $-5 | $4,010 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.8¢ | 85¢ | +$8 | $3,202 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $23 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.1¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $864 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $4,004 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16.3¢ | 15¢ | $-9 | $453 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89.8¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $1,006 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $24 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $995 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.7¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $997 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83.8¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $907 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13.3¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $766 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93.1¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | $992 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $919 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 17¢ | $-2 | $313 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $27 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $904 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,008 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87.2¢ | 40¢ | +$1 | $916 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $832 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63.2¢ | 61¢ | $-0 | $915 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 1¢ | +$4 | $39 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $2,892 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $3,640 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $915 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92.0¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $916 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $92 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96.7¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $917 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $4,005 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.2¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $60 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,009 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 93.5¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | $285 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.5¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $1,008 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $41 | 07/11/2028 |