Win rate
53.0%
184 W / 163 L
Total PnL
$-61
realized $-2,114 · unrealized $2,053
Portfolio
$2,053
volume $48,934
Predictions
848
54.3/day · avg $58
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 47% +$497
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? | No | 96¢ | 83¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Up | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Up | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
Sports 42% +$201
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | Daria Zhelezniakova | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Mark Vologdin | 47¢ | 41¢ | $-4 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Charles Jourdain | 57¢ | 55¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Gokhan Saricam | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$1 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | Gauge Young | 60¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card) | Robert Valentin | 60¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card) | Mike Malott | 72¢ | 72¢ | $-0 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims) | Marcio Barbosa | 83¢ | 78¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 82% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 67% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 87¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 77¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 58% $-41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 26¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 77% $-48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 40¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 34.6¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 44.1¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Down | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 41.3¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Up | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Up | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Down | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Down | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Up | 48.8¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Up | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Down | 37.4¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Down | 62.3¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Up | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Up | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $37 | 14/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 14? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 14/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Down | 30.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Predators | 57.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 39.6¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Up | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Up | 9.9¢ | 100¢ | +$273 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Down | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 47.3¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Down | 42.2¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Flyers | 49.2¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 13/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Down | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Down | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Vicente Luque | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$212 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit | 51.1¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | $142 | 12/04/2026 |