tomatosauce2

Other 87% +$5,545 $295,829 vol · 472 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94¢	96¢	+$124	win
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	69¢	92¢	+$66	win
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	No	83¢	91¢	+$18	win
JD Vance baby: Boy or Girl?	Boy	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	90¢	96¢	+$4	win
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-7	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	97¢	96¢	$-24	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	81¢	$-63	loss
Human moon landing in 2026?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win

Sports 93% +$3,855 $237,296 vol · 459 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	12¢	6¢	+$24	win
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	97¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	76¢	92¢	+$10	win
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	48¢	50¢	+$3	win
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	47¢	50¢	+$18	win
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	94¢	100¢	+$7	win
Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?	Antonelli	42¢	50¢	+$5	win
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	70¢	0¢	$-66	loss

Elections 76% +$2,154 $107,877 vol · 164 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	96¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?	No	30¢	81¢	+$47	win
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	Yes	8¢	18¢	+$32	win
Will DIKO win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	No	94¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 90%?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win

Politics 89% +$1,373 $98,800 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81¢	92¢	+$94	win
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	83¢	84¢	+$35	win
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	86¢	88¢	+$8	win
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 9.00% and 9.50%?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	82¢	60¢	$-138	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	59¢	40¢	$-27	loss
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	29¢	38¢	+$12	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	89¢	58¢	+$10	win
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?	No	73¢	75¢	$-20	loss

Geopolitics 91% +$1,350 $119,645 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	97¢	98¢	$-20	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	78¢	92¢	+$22	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$80	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 98% +$977 $48,505 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	50¢	90¢	+$22	win
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	38¢	46¢	$-4	loss
Will Alexis Mac Allister record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Oscars Bingo	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$478	win
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?	No	98¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will "Opera" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Bugonia win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 100% +$497 $14,806 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?	No	84¢	88¢	+$0	win
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	63¢	70¢	+$43	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210 be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will gpt-5.4-high be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will gpt-5.4-high have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 100% +$103 $3,772 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
USDC depeg by December 31?	No	87¢	96¢	+$9	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	48¢	49¢	+$14	win
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	86¢	94¢	+$37	win
Will Ethan Fang shoot the lowest round at the 2026 Masters?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ethan Fang finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?	Yes	49¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 6?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pete Hegseth visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Weather 100% +$102 $4,925 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	94¢	96¢	+$84	win
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	88¢	90¢	+$11	win
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$7	win

Mentions 67% $-1 $62 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 33% $-44 $357 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-18	loss