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0x8dc096b492a493ecc0b48a42e1f93793ae67c3a5 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
81.4%
118 W / 27 L
Total PnL
$63
realized $-9,971 · unrealized $10,034
Portfolio
$10,034
volume $328,844
Predictions
143
0.6/day · avg $2,300
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/03/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 82% +$3,774
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1,068 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$840 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$901 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-390 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$613 | win |
Sports 100% +$590
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Thunder | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Knicks vs. Nets | Knicks | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Mentions 100% +$247
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Geopolitics 67% +$221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Iran Nuke in 2024? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | win |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
Tech 75% +$66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Will anyone say "Datacenter" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Finance 100% +$49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Mac IPO in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Circle IPO by June? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Weather 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 21 and 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
Culture 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Other 87% $-188
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 90¢ | 70¢ | $-237 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will three people dissent the March Fed decision? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Elections 86% $-211
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | 93¢ | 90¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$50 | win |
| Trump conviction overturned before election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$165 | win |
Crypto 71% $-1,158
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 42¢ | $-62 | loss |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | win |
| No Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
Politics 70% $-3,391
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-931 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Biden pardon Fauci? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-1,032 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | loss |
| Was Trump hacked? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $398 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $545 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $542 | 03/04/2026 |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? | No | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $1,628 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $895 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Thunder | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $243 | 28/03/2026 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats | Arizona Wildcats | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $322 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24? | No | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $90 | 24/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Nets | Knicks | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $929 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will three people dissent the March Fed decision? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $844 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | Yes | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $748 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $2,958 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4? | No | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $279 | 04/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $2,523 | 28/02/2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $1,947 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $963 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $177 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $905 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $988 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 84.6¢ | 0¢ | $-931 | $931 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,068 | $4,740 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $3,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $999 | 31/12/2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $983 | 31/12/2025 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO in 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $2,030 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,592 | 31/12/2025 |
| Freddie Mac IPO in 2025? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $708 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $507 | 19/12/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$840 | $1,840 | 10/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,986 | 10/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $48 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | Yes | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $3,040 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $1,067 | 04/11/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $3,035 | 29/10/2025 |
| Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $940 | 19/10/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$901 | $18,326 | 17/09/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $978 | 01/09/2025 |
| Will anyone say "Datacenter" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $739 | 27/08/2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $1,041 | 01/08/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$184 | $7,058 | 30/07/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $4,040 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $1,048 | 23/06/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$208 | $5,546 | 18/06/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 24.4¢ | 0¢ | $-390 | $977 | 18/06/2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $968 | 03/06/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on May 31? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $196 | 31/05/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $4,828 | 31/05/2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $2,877 | 09/05/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$613 | $5,953 | 07/05/2025 |