agentslaughter

Other 76% +$326 $2,816 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	59¢	18¢	+$5	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	42¢	0¢	$-133	loss
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	59¢	97¢	+$39	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	80¢	46¢	$-93	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	46¢	7¢	$-25	loss
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?	No	64¢	100¢	+$43	win
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?	No	64¢	100¢	+$104	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?	No	72¢	100¢	+$103	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	No	79¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$22	win

Geopolitics 80% +$206 $753 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	85¢	72¢	$-15	loss
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	No	77¢	94¢	+$7	win
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	75¢	96¢	$-0	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$111	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$6	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	77¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	No	86¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Bernie Sanders say "Iran" at the rally on Saturday?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$6	win

Culture 100% +$203 $299 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$82	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$32	win

Finance 50% +$77 $200 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	73¢	69¢	$-5	loss
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	55¢	100¢	+$82	win

Elections 100% +$43 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$43	win

Politics 86% +$18 $600 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	57¢	60¢	+$5	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	83¢	100¢	+$18	win

Economy 0% $-17 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	63¢	7¢	$-17	loss

Sports 50% $-143 $400 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	94¢	96¢	+$1	win
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers	Dodgers	62¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers	Dodgers	65¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers	Dodgers	64¢	100¢	+$56	win