Win rate
71.9%
23 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$83
realized $-3,490 · unrealized $3,574
Portfolio
$3,574
volume $30,282
Predictions
41
0.9/day · avg $739
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 90% +$952
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 28¢ | 56¢ | +$203 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 64¢ | 99¢ | +$352 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Geopolitics 60% +$22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$25 | win |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Politics 25% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 51¢ | 34¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 1¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | win |
Crypto 77% $-1,167
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET | Up | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3AM ET | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-1,376 | loss |
Recent Trades (32)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $144 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 99¢ | +$352 | $640 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $228 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 47.2¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | $284 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $85 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $90 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $264 | 24/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $35 | 20/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET | Up | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $81 | 19/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3AM ET | Down | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $184 | 19/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET | Up | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $736 | 18/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $50 | 18/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,376 | $1,376 | 18/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3AM ET | Up | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $178 | 17/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET | Down | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $84 | 17/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET | Down | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $87 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13? | No | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $255 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $310 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 35.3¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $100 | 31/10/2025 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 28.4¢ | 56¢ | +$203 | $205 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 1¢ | $-26 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 51.4¢ | 34¢ | $-128 | $321 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | $141 | 30/09/2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 87.0¢ | 86¢ | $-6 | $1,010 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 88.8¢ | 91¢ | +$25 | $888 | 31/12/2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84.0¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | $504 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 77.0¢ | 76¢ | $-8 | $385 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | $65 | 31/12/2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | 86¢ | +$3 | $40 | 31/12/2026 |